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🏀😎🥳 NCAA hoops bets hitting over 63% each year for past few seasons!...BUT will this continue? 🤔 ...or regress?? 🤒🤕😧

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Posted: #576

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #577

 

Currently on a 29 - 7 run,  but nobody should expect this will continue on this 80% clip, or 70%, or even 60%!an_shake

.....hot streaks do not last, which is why I am reducing the size of my bets in anticipation this bubble is soon to burst... 

 

 

an_ref Attention the handful of forum readers/lurkers who occasionally read my thread: I strongly advise laying off tailing my forthcoming bets (or LEANS) until I suffer some losses (regression to the mean)  Fading is not advisable either.  Just PASS on my stuff and you risk/lose nothing!  Tail someone else with a GOOD posted W/L record until AFTER my win/loss percentage drops  peace_5

 
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Posted: #578

@fubah2

 gl today thumbs_up

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #579

@KellyM_1964

 TY!  You too! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #580

I will continue to make your plays. Thank u

 
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Posted: #581

Quote Originally Posted by jimmy4u:

I will continue to make your plays. Thank u

 

OK......well,  I want Mercyhurst but ONLY IF the line during live play drops a few pts WHILE THEY ARE otherwise still playing well themselves, even if the weakass Cougars might get HOT shooting from the perimeter early....

 
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Posted: #582

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Sunday:  Lean to USF but want really cheap ML during live play... 1:00 ET tip

USF indeed trailed by 7 late in the 1H (cheap ML)

....then WON 89 -75! an_boggienight

 
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Posted: #583

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by jimmy4u: I will continue to make your plays. Thank u   OK......well,  I want Mercyhurst but ONLY IF the line during live play drops a few pts WHILE THEY ARE otherwise still playing well themselves, even if the weakass Cougars might get HOT shooting from the perimeter early....

Line on Mercyhurst did not drop in first half so did not take a bet...

 
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Posted: #584

Quote Originally Posted by IAdecimal5:

  an_cheers

TY sir.....and BoL on your bets! clover an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #585

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Currently on a 29 - 7 run,  but nobody should expect this will continue on this 80% clip, or 70%, or even 60%! .....hot streaks do not last, which is why I am reducing the size of my bets in anticipation this bubble is soon to burst...       

an_police an_blowhorn Attention the handful of forum readers/lurkers who occasionally read my thread: I strongly advise laying off tailing my forthcoming bets (or LEANS) until I suffer some losses (regression to the mean)  Fading is not advisable either.  Just PASS on my stuff and you risk/lose nothing!  Tail someone else with a GOOD posted W/L record until AFTER my win/loss percentage drops

Mon, Jan 26:
Tex A/M CC -2.5 -140  alt@B365

 
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Posted: #586

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Currently on a 29 - 7 run,  but nobody should expect this will continue on this 80% clip, or 70%, or even 60%! .....hot streaks do not last, which is why I am reducing the size of my bets in anticipation this bubble is soon to burst...          Attention the handful of forum readers/lurkers who occasionally read my thread: I strongly advise laying off tailing my forthcoming bets (or LEANS) until I suffer some losses (regression to the mean)  Fading is not advisable either.  Just PASS on my stuff and you risk/lose nothing!  Tail someone else with a GOOD posted W/L record until AFTER my win/loss percentage drops Mon, Jan 26:Tex A/M CC -2.5 -140  alt@B365
....but this is definitely not a Best Bet  fingershake

 
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Posted: #587

@fubah2

 Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books. Some injury news?

 
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Posted: #588

Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22:

@fubah2  Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books. Some injury news?

@ALLIN22

 TY for the heads-up! peace_5  Hadn't checked since betting on the overnight line several hrs ago... However I believe it to be money moves (not injury); oft associated with the common fluctuations we see daily between the overnight lines and early a.m changes when America climbs out of bed to begin their day...

I still like the bet as I believe they win a close one and I have -2.5 so this will stand....In fact, I may even double-down.....undecided....

peace_5  BoL with your bets today!

 

an_nailbiter Couple more bets likely coming ...even though my 29 - 7 run strongly suggests regression is looming over my bets. sadan_burn_money

 
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Posted: #589

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22: @fubah2  Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books.

 

@ALLIN22

 Confirmed, at most books.  BUT I suspect this will rise a bit during the day as bettors realize the value on the ISLANDERS....so if anyone's capping also suggests a play on TAMCC, NOW would be the time to get it imho...

 
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Posted: #590

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BoL with your bets today!

 

an_nailbiter Couple more bets likely coming ...even though my 29 - 7 run strongly suggests regression is looming over my bets. sadan_burn_money

BRAVES +13.5 @FD   ...7pm ET tip

 
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Posted: #591

clover

 
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Posted: #592

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

an_police an_ref Couple more bets likely coming ...even though my 29 - 7 run strongly suggests regression is looming over my bets. sadan_burn_moneyan_nailbiter

RATTLERS -2.5 -165  alt-line@B365    ... 7pm ET tip

My belief is they win at home again, BUT this could be very close and -4.5 is more risky...

 
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Posted: #593

@fubah2

 

@fubah2

 Do you know why the 1st half line is only -1.5 

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Posted: #594

Quote Originally Posted by accfan1:

@fubah2   @fubah2  Do you know why the 1st half line is only -1.5

Uncertain......but if you have any insight, please share peace_5 an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #595

@fubah2

 Ty. Just unusual since full game line is -5 to -5.5 

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Posted: #596

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22: @fubah2  Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books.  

 

@ALLIN22  Confirmed, at most books.  BUT I suspect this will rise a bit during the day as bettors realize the value on the ISLANDERS....so if anyone's capping also suggests a play on TAMCC, NOW would be the time to get it imho...

cool And as I predicted  the TAMCC line which had dropped to -1.5 earlier has since risen to -2.5 

Still a good line imho.  I did not double-down as I suggested I might....peace_5

 
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Posted: #597

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22: @fubah2  Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books.     @ALLIN22  Confirmed, at most books.  BUT I suspect this will rise a bit during the day as bettors realize the value on the ISLANDERS....so if anyone's capping also suggests a play on TAMCC, NOW would be the time to get it imho...  And as I predicted  the TAMCC line which had dropped to -1.5 earlier has since risen to -2.5  Still a good line imho.  I did not double-down as I suggested I might....

Of course there's no guarantee TAMCC will win/cover.  They COULD bellyflop bigly.an_nailbiter   The possibility/likelihood of regression has caused me to reduce the size of my bets slightly to soften any blow to my BR...

 
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Posted: #598

Quote Originally Posted by accfan1:

@fubah2  Ty. Just unusual since full game line is -5 to -5.5

@accfan1

 Which has since risen to -6.5 surprised

 
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Posted: #599

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by ALLIN22: @fubah2  Looks like this line has fell quite a bit. Think most recent is -1.5 at -110 on most books.     @ALLIN22  Confirmed, at most books.  BUT I suspect this will rise a bit during the day as bettors realize the value on the ISLANDERS....so if anyone's capping also suggests a play on TAMCC, NOW would be the time to get it imho...  And as I predicted  the TAMCC line which had dropped to -1.5 earlier has since risen to -2.5  Still a good line imho.  I did not double-down as I suggested I might.... Of course there's no guarantee TAMCC will win/cover.  They COULD bellyflop bigly.   

The possibility/likelihood of regression has caused me to reduce the size of my bets slightly to soften any blow to my BR...

Yikes!  Looks like I will LOSE 2 or maybe all 3 bets tonight an_nailbiter

 
 
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Posted: #600

Nice Winner with Alcorn! an_cheers

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