Indigo lines
Bombers -5 Redblacks 55
Argos +1 Lions 52'
Eskimos -13 Alouettes 51
Riders +6' Stamps 50
Duron Carter cut.... teams never learn that head cases like him and Dez Bryant bring the team down. I won't miss him and I'm sure a lot of his teammates are relieved.
Hope he saved his money.
There's hope for the Alouettes....they got thrashed in yards at Ottawa, but Johnny M showed some good signs. He had his receivers drop a few, a couple of which would have produced at least 30 yard completions.
Edmonton's rush defense is nothing to write home about....Montreal could outrush the Eskimos this week and usually there is a high correlation between winning the rushing game and covering.
Hoping the Lions are getting some points versus the Argos.
Redblacks have been a Jeckyl and Hyde team...they rarely cover at home and are very good on the road. They are a very similar team to the Tiger Cats and I would think the line would be similar to what it was versus for the Bombers versus Hamilton.
A team that had >2 turnovers last week and won, now a road dog (Redblacks) 9-4 ATS (+1.42), 5-8 ATS (-4.54).
A team that was outyarded by more than 200 yards and lost the game, now a road non-conference dog (Alouettes).
10-8 ATS (+1.83) and 2-12 straight up (-6.44) and 11-7 O/U (1.92).
A non-con away dog off an loss that allowed >500 yards their previous game (Alouettes) 13-6 ATS (+3.15) and 6-14 straight up and 10-10 O/U.
A non-conference team with a turnover margin differential disadvantage coming into the game, that is an away dog (Redblacks, Lions if away dog) 44-28 ATS (+1.66) 21-51 straight up (-6.49), 32-40 O/U (-0.93).
A non-conference home favorite off an away loss, that threw >1 intereceptions their previous game (Eskimos) 7-13 ATS (-2.92) 9-11 straight up (3.70), 11-9 O/U (0.90).
A Western Division home favorite that has the average yards per pass differential advantage, has a better overall record and is a home favorite (Eskimos) 39-41 ATS (1.71) and 45-36 O/U (+1.70).
A non- conference Western Division away team with a better winning percentage with a <500 record playing an Eastern Division team (Lions) 7-13 ATS (0.90) 6-15 O/U (-3.43)
Season to date, 22-14-2.
Plays:
1) Ottawa +6
Ottawa falls into a 44-28 ATS angle detailed above.
2) Riders/Stamps UNDER 48'
Riders down 24-0 in the first quarter of first meeting in Sasquatch City with many turnovers. This one will be the defensive slugfest that many thought would happen in the first game. I expect both teams to emphasize ball security and conservatism.
If the Lions become away dogs, which they have in some books I will probably play them as well.
BC looks likely to remain a favorite, so I will not be playing them.
One other play:
4) Edmonton/Montreal OVER 52
This will be the week Johnny and his mates get some production done against the bad Edmonton defense, I expect them to score >20. Riley will produce a ton as well as Montreal allowed >500 yards last week and allowed 50 points in another.
My other plays:
3) Saskatchewan/Calgary UNDER 48'
2) Ottawa +6'
1) Ottawa/Winnipeg OVER 53'
I like the fact that there have been plenty of UNDERs the past few weeks, time for a regression.
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