Week 11 of the NFL season has come and gone, and the NFL odds regular season win totals have shifted rapidly for some teams.
Win total odds offer an early barometer for how strong or weak teams are perceived to be entering the season, and how well they're likely to finish as the campaign progresses.
The usual suspects are atop the board with the Philadelphia Eagles leading the charge with 13.5 projected wins and a pair of teams sitting at 12.5. On the other end, books are anticipating an especially rough finish to the season for Carolina and Arizona, who both sit with win projections of 3.5.
With that said, here is every team's NFL Over/Under win total odds for the 2023-24 season heading into Week 12. Be sure to also check out our Super Bowl odds page!
2023 NFL win totals
| Team | Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Cardinals |
3.5 | -170 | +140 |
 Atlanta Falcons |
7.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Baltimore Ravens |
11.5 | -125 | -105 |
 Buffalo Bills |
8.5 | -170 | +140 |
 Carolina Panthers |
3.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Chicago Bears |
5.5 | +110 | -140 |
 Cincinnati Bengals |
7.5 | -150 | +120 |
 Cleveland Browns |
10.5 | -140 | +110 |
 Dallas Cowboys |
11.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Denver Broncos |
8.5 | +110 | -140 |
 Detroit Lions |
12.5 | -140 | +110 |
 Green Bay Packers |
7.5 | +100 | -130 |
 Houston Texans |
9.5 | -150 | +120 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8.5 | -140 | +110 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars |
11.5 | +110 | -140 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
12.5 | +110 | -140 |
 Los Angeles Chargers |
7.5 | -140 | +110 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
7.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
6.5 | -140 | +110 |
 Miami Dolphins |
11.5 | -115 | -105 |
 Minnesota Vikings |
8.5 | -160 | +130 |
 New England Patriots |
4.5 | -130 | +100 |
 New Orleans Saints |
9.5 | +125 | -155 |
 New York Giants |
4.5 | -150 | +120 |
 New York Jets |
6.5 | -155 | +125 |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
13.5 | -160 | +130 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers |
9.5 | -110 | -110 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
11.5 | -150 | +120 |
 Seattle Seahawks* |
8.5 | -130 | +100 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
7.5 | -115 | -105 |
 Tennessee Titans |
5.5 | -145 | +115 |
 Washington Commanders |
5.5 | -150 | +120 |
Odds courtesy of bet365 on November 21, 2023.
* Odds displayed were last registered on October 21, now OTB
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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2023?
The Philadelphia Eagles' impressive 9-1 start has them projected to get the highest win total at 13.5, with the Over paying out at -160. Close behind at 12.5 are the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions, with five others projected to eclipse 11.5.
Which NFL team is expected to have the least wins in 2023?
Bottom-of-the-barrel honors go to the Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals, who have win projections of a measly 3.5. With that said, Arizona's Over is paying -170 while the Panthers Over can be gotten at just -110. The New England Patriots and New York Giants are just behind them with 4.5 projected wins.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
Popular NFL futures markets
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.
NFL win totals trends
- There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, with the 2007 New England Patriots being the most recent.
- Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the most recent.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular season wins in the last 10 years (117).
Win total history
Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.
| Season | Best record | Team(s) |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 14-3 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2021-22 | 13-4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers |
| 2020-21 | 14-2 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2019-20 | 14-2 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018-19 | 13-3 | New Orleans Saints Los Angeles Rams |
| 2017-18 | 13-3 | Four separate teams shared the honor |
| 2016-17 | 14-2 | New England Patriots |
| 2015-16 | 15-1 | Carolina Panthers |
| 2014-15 | 12-4 | Five separate teams shared the honor |
| 2013-14 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks |
| 2012-13 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Atlanta Falcons |
| 2011-12 | 15-1 | Green Bay Packers |
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