The Calgary Stampeders head to Vancouver to take on the BC Lions in Week 15 of CFL action Friday night.
The Lions look to snap a six-game losing streak, but it won't be easy against a Stamps squad that steamrolled them less than a month ago. CFL betting lines opened with Calgary installed as a 2.5-point road favorite for this contest with the Over/Under at 45.5.
Here are our best free Stampeders vs. Lions picks and predictions for Friday, November 12.
Stampeders vs Lions odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Stampeders vs Lions picks
Picks made on 11/09/2021 at 10 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Stampeders vs Lions game info
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC
• Date: Friday, November 12, 2021
• Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Stampeders at Lions betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Stampeders: Cory Greenwood LB (Questionable), DaShaun Amos DB (Probable), Royce Metchie DB (Out).
Lions: Bryan Burnham WR (Questionable), Jalon Edwards-Cooper DB Questionable), T.J. Lee DB (Questionable), J.R. Tavai DL (Questionable), Lemar Durant WR (Out), Ryker Mathews OT (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Stampeders are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games while the Lions are 1-4 ATS in their previous five home contests. Find more CFL betting trends for Stampeders vs. Lions.
Stampeders vs Lions predictions
Stampeders -2.5 (-110)
The Stamps are coming off a bye week and have won four of their last five games to climb back to .500 on the year. With a win or tie in their final two games, they would clinch a playoff berth for the 16th season in a row.
The Lions looked like a playoff team earlier in the year after starting 4-2 and boasting a road victory in Calgary. Since then, they've collapsed, losing six in a row and going just 1-5 ATS over that span. That includes a contest against the Stamps four weeks ago when they were destroyed by a score of 39-10 in front of their home fans at BC Place.
There are several reasons for the Lions' collapse, including a mediocre running game and injuries at wide receiver, but the biggest dropoff has been the play of their defense. Earlier in the year, BC was allowing plenty of yards but forced lots of turnovers, which kept opponents out of the end zone.
Those takeaways have dried up and the Lions have surrendered 33.7 points per game in their last six contests. BC has been particularly vulnerable through the air, generating a league-low 19 sacks and allowing a league-high 276.5 passing yards per game.
That's bad news against a Stampeders team that leads the league with 280.6 passing yards per game and has a two-time CFL MOP winner Bo Levi Mitchell under center. Mitchell needs to cut down on his interceptions but has completed 70.8 percent of his passes for 1,119 yards and 9.3 yards per attempt over his last four games. And he gets back his favorite target from two seasons ago in wide receiver Reggie Begelton (1,444 receiving yards in 2019) who spent time with the Green Bay Packers.
The Stamps might not hammer the Lions by 29 points this time around, but they should be able to cover the 2.5-point spread.
Under 45.5 (-110)
The Lions have a pretty talented QB of their own in Michael Reilly, but he struggled against the Stamps in Week 11, completing just 13 of 25 passes for 145 yards and two interceptions. And he hasn't been helped out by a toothless Lions ground game that ranks last in the league with 64.3 rushing yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry.
Calgary's running attack hasn't been much better, ranking second-last with 81.5 ypg and 4.6 ypc. While Mitchell has been helping the Stamps move the chains, they haven't been clinical at finishing drives, often having to settle for field goals inside the red zone.
That said, the Stamps stop-unit has stepped up when their offense has faltered. Calgary's defense has held foes to just 300.6 yards and 16.9 points per game over the last seven contests.
With the Under cashing in five of the Stamps' last six games and also going 7-2 in the last nine meetings in the head-to-head, back it on Friday night.
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