Stampeders vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Western Semi-Final

Ponnaiya's prediction: Nathan Rourke & Co. light up the scoreboard at BC Place.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Oct 31, 2025 • 15:09 ET • 4 min read

CFL

Match starts: 18 hrs
BC
67 %
CGY
33 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o53.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Nathan Rourke BC Lions CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke (12) looks to pass.

The BC Lions host the Calgary Stampeders in the Western Semi-Final on Saturday. 

BC had the top offense in the league during the regular season, and my Stampeders vs. Lions predictions expect that to continue in the playoffs. 

Here are my best free CFL picks for this playoff clash on November 1.

Stampeders vs Lions prediction

My Stampeders vs Lions pick: Lions team total Over 30.5 (-110 at BET99)

The BC Lions led the CFL in scoring (31.1 ppg), yards per play (8.04), and second-down conversion rate (52.6%) during the regular season. The Leos have scored more than 30 points in nine of their last 11 games, and their explosive attack thrives on the fast indoor surface at BC Place. 

While running back James Butler (1,213 yards on 5.3 yards per carry) will be a game-time decision, BC has more than enough firepower to make up for his absence. 

Quarterback Nathan Rourke is a lock to win the Most Outstanding Player Award after throwing for 5290 yards and 31 touchdowns while adding another 564 yards and 10 scores on the ground. He's surrounded by big and talented receivers, including All-Stars Keon Hatcher and Justin McInnis.

Meanwhile, the Calgary Stampeders' defense seriously regressed during the second half of the season, with injuries to defensive end Folarin Orimolade and safety Damon Webb clearly affecting them on that side of the ball.

The Stamps have faced the Lions twice since Labour Day and were torched both times, surrendering 527 yards and 52 points in Week 16 before giving up 38 points in Week 18. 

Stampeders vs Lions same-game parlay (SGP)

Lions team total Over 30.5

Stampeders alt spread +7.5

Although the Lions offense will be firing on all cylinders, I also expect this to be a competitive game.

Calgary can also move the ball, and BC's defense has been below average in the secondary and against the run. Stamps QB Vernon Adams loves to attack downfield, while RB Dedrick Mills rushed for a league-high 1,409 yards on 5.6 ypa.

Let's push the spread past that key number of 7 and take the Stamps with the points to get a big-money payout in this SGP.

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Stampeders vs Lions odds

Stampeders vs Lions live odds

Stampeders vs Lions opening odds

  • Spread: Calgary +3.5 (-110) | BC -3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Calgary +160 | BC -200
  • Over/Under: Over 53.5 (-110) | Under 53.5 (-110)

Stampeders vs Lions trend

The Lions have eclipsed their team total in five of their last six games at home.

How to watch Stampeders vs Lions and game info

Location BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Date Saturday, November 1, 2025
Kick-off 5:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Stampeders vs Lions key injuries

Stampeders: Preston Nichols OT (Out), Joshua Coker OT (Out), Folarin Orimolade (Out), Damon Webb S (Out), Kyle Wilson LB (Out).
Lions: Dejon Allen (Out), James Butler RB (Questionable), Sione Teuhema DE (Out), Cristophe Beaulieu S (Out).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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