The Hamilton Tiger-Cats host the Ottawa Redblacks in CFL action on Saturday afternoon. After four years of being at the bottom of the CFL standings, the surging Redblacks have the second-best record in the league.
That said, I'm fading them in my Redblacks vs. Tiger-Cats predictions for Week 15. See why I'm betting on the Ticats with my CFL picks for this East Division clash on Saturday, September 14.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats prediction
My best bet
Tiger-Cats +4.5 (-115 at Bet99)
My analysis
The Ottawa Redblacks are coming off a 41-27 blowout win against the Argos and have the second-best record in the CFL at 8-3-1. However, that puts their stock in a sell-high position this week against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, who are better than their 3-9 record would suggest.
Keep in mind that when these teams clashed in Week 4, the Redblacks won on a last-second field goal at TD Place. They've gone 6-0-1 at home but are 2-3 on the road, and they're heading to Hamilton to face a Ticats squad fresh off a bye. Ottawa also just lost All-Star returner DeVonte Dedmon and stud right tackle Zack Pelehos to injuries and released the CFL's fourth-leading rusher in Ryquell Armstead.
Despite having the worst record in the CFL, the Ticats have outgained their opponents in eight of 12 contests. The primary reason the Tabbies were losing earlier in the year was because they were shooting themselves in the foot with sloppy turnovers.
However, they've shown better ball security in recent weeks, which resulted in an upset win against the Argos in Week 13 and a close loss to the Bombers in Winnipeg in Week 12. If quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell can continue to take care of the ball here, the Ticats should cover.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats same-game parlay (SGP)
Tiger-Cats +4.5
Over 50.5
Dominique Rhymes Over 58.5 receiving yards
The Redblacks struggle on defence away from home, surrendering 34.6 ppg on the road compared to 19.6 ppg at TD Place. With defensive anchor Jovan Santos-Knox on the IL along with DE Bryce Carter and two starters in the secondary, Ottawa's defence could be even worse here.
Hamilton's offense is filled with playmakers, which has resulted in the Ticats leading the league in net offense (392.2 ypg) and yards per play (6.92). However, their leaky defence is sixth in yards allowed per play (6.55) and seventh in opponent pass efficiency (103.4).
That should lead to success for Ottawa's attack and QB Dru Brown. Ottawa is banged up at WR with a pair of starters sidelined by injuries, but that should mean even more targets for Dominique Rhymes, who hauled in 10-of-14 targets for 138 yards last week.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats odds
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats live odds
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats opening odds
- Spread: Ottawa -4.5 | Hamilton +3.5
- Moneyline: Ottawa -220 | Hamilton +185
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 | Under 50.5
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats spread and Over/Under analysis
- Money has come in on the Ticats, slimming their line from +4.5 to +3.5 at most books as of Thursday afternoon.
- The Redblacks are 6-1-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games.
- The Ticats began the year 0-5 SU and ATS but have gone 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS since.
- Ottawa edged Hamilton 24-22 earlier this year, but the Ticats won the previous 10 meetings, going 8-2 ATS.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats trend
The Tiger-Cats are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week. Find more CFL betting trends for Redblacks vs. Tiger-Cats.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats game info
| Location: | Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON |
| Date: | Saturday, 9-142024 |
| Kick-off: | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN |
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats key injuries
Redblacks: Zack Pelehos RT (Out), DeVonte Dedmon WR/KR (Out), Jovan Santos-Knox LB (Out), Money Hunter CB (Questionable), Tobias Harris DB (Questionable), Bryce Carter DE (Out), Devonte Williams (Out), Brandin Dandridge DB (Questionable), Jamal Morrow (Questionable), Khalil Pimpleton WR (Questionable), Bralon Addison WR (Out).
Tiger-Cats: Jamal Peters CB (Questionable), Joel Figueroa OT (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Redblacks vs Tiger-Cats weather
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