Lions vs Argonauts Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 12

Ponnaiya's prediction: Toronto's porous defense will be exposed against Nathan Rourke & Co.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Aug 22, 2025 • 12:39 ET • 4 min read

CFL

Match starts: 23 hrs
TOR
57 %
BC
43 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
BC -3.5 (-110) BC -3.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Nathan Rourke BC Lions CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke (12) looks to pass.

The BC Lions face off against the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday afternoon.

BC is starting to hit its stride, and my Lions vs. Argonauts predictions are backing their offense to keep rolling.

Here are my best free CFL picks for this Week 12 clash on August 23. 

Lions vs Argonauts prediction

My Lions vs Argonauts pick: Lions -3.5 (-110 at BET99)

The Toronto Argonauts have gone from first to worst, with the reigning Grey Cup champs sitting at the bottom of the CFL standings with a 2-8 record.

Toronto's offense was expected to struggle with QB Chad Kelly sidelined, but backup Nick Arbuckle and the passing attack have been the only positives. The offensive line has been awful, with the Argos churning out a league-low 48.2 rushing yards per game on 3.7 yards per pop.   

Meanwhile, their defense has been getting torched against the run and pass. Toronto allows a CFL-worst 114.4 rushing yards per game and ranks dead-last in yards allowed per pass attempt (9.7). 

They'll be shredded by a BC Lions offense that leads the CFL in yards per game (427.1), yards per play (7.59), and second-down conversion rate (55.3%), while sitting second in big plays (30). 

BC pivot Nathan Rourke is red-hot, throwing for more than 330 yards in five of his last six games, and James Butler leads the CFL with 785 rushing yards on 5.5 yards per carry. The Boatmen don't have the firepower to keep up. 

Lions vs Argonauts same-game parlay (SGP)

Lions -3.5

Over 55.5

I expect the Leos to light up Toronto's pathetic defense, but Arbuckle has been airing it out when playing from behind. He's thrown for 1,923 yards in his last six contests, and the Argos had eclipsed their team total in seven-straight games before struggling in the red zone last week. 

BC is vulnerable in the back end, ranking seventh in the league in opponent pass efficiency while giving up a league-high 21 completions of 30+ yards. The Argos won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard, but they'll do their part to eclipse the lofty total. 

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Lions vs Argonauts odds

Lions vs Argonauts live odds

Lions vs Argonauts opening odds

  • Spread: BC -3.5 (-110) | Toronto +3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: BC -170 | Toronto +145
  • Over/Under: Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110)

Lions vs Argonauts trend

The Argos are 1-4 SU and ATS at home this year, while the Leos are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three away games.

How to watch Lions vs Argonauts and game info

Location BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, August 23, 2025
Kick-off 3:00 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Lions vs Argonauts key injuries

Lions: Michael Couture C (Out), Dejon Allen RT (Out).John Edwards-Cooper DB (Out).
Argonauts: Chad Kelly QB (Out), Damonte Coxie WR (Out), Miyan Williams RB (Out), Ryan Hunter OT (Out), George Moore OT (Out), Bryan Cox Jr. DE (Out).

Lions vs Argonauts weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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