Junior flyweight champion Knockout CP Freshmart defends his title against Japan’s hard-charging Shokichi Iwata in a compelling clash between experience and power in our featured boxing attraction of the weekend.
Iwata comes in the -255 favorite, and Freshmart is the +195 underdog.
My Freshmart vs. Iwata predictions and free betting picks believe the younger, physically stronger Iwata brings the kind of relentless pressure and finishing ability that could force the veteran into the most difficult fight of his career when the two face off in Japan on Sunday, March 15.
Freshmart vs Iwata prediction and pick
- My fight prediction: Iwata moneyline (-255 at DraftKings)
- My best bet: Iwata moneyline (-255 at DraftKings)
Fight analysis
Shokichi Iwata is a bruising pressure fighter who operates behind a blistering work rate. Iwata enters the fight five years younger than Knockout CP Freshmart and is physically larger than the champion.
When Iwata is confident and pressing forward, he is a dangerous puncher who strings together heavy combinations and relentlessly pursues the knockout. Twelve of his fifteen victories have come inside the distance, and he’ll have a clear physical edge in this matchup.
Freshmart is a technically sound veteran who has proven himself consistently against high-level opposition, but he may be past his prime.
His style is methodical and disciplined, opting for guile rather than grit. To succeed here, Freshmart has to limit exchanges, use his footwork to offset Iwata, and avoid trading punches with the bigger fighter.
Freshmart’s experience and composure could keep him competitive early, but the physical advantages favor Iwata. As the fight progresses, Iwata’s pressure and heavier punches should begin to wear the veteran down.
Best best analysis
Freshmart is a seasoned veteran with strong defensive fundamentals, but Iwata’s size, power, and relentless pressure give him the physical edge in this matchup.
While Freshmart is durable and capable of making Iwata uncomfortable if the fight gets into the later rounds, Iwata’s size and pressure will be enough for him to find a way to win.

Knockout CP Freshmart vs Shokichi Iwata odds
| Method of victory | Knockout CP Freshmart | Shokichi Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Win outright | +250 | -330 |
| Win by KO/TKO | +900 | -115 |
| Win by points or decision | +400 | +265 |
| Draw | +1600 | +1600 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of March 14.
Knockout CP Freshmart vs Shokichi Iwata tale of the tape
| Freshmart | Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Age | 30 |
| 5-foot-1 | Height | 5-foot-4 |
| Junior Flyweight | Weight Class | Junior Flyweight |
| 61 inches | Reach | 64 inches |
| 29-1 | Record | 15-2 |
| 13 | Wins by KO | 12 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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