Amanda Serrano vs. Lucrecia Manzur takes place tonight in Temecula, CA, and will be the first title fight streamed live on TikTok. Serrano is chasing her own piece of history and enters as a massive -3000 favorite.
Check out our free betting picks and Serrano vs. Manzur predictions for this title fight on Friday, Aug. 21.
Who will win Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur: Serrano (-3000)
Serrano is a massive favorite, facing an opponent set up to take a knockout loss so she can break the knockout record for women’s boxing.
As long as Serrano stays at featherweight, she remains a devastating puncher and one of the better tactical minds in the sport. This will be too big of a jump in class for Manzur, and Serrano should dominate the fight.
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Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur best bet: Serrano to win Round 1-6 (+120)
Serrano is a -3000 favorite and is favored to win by knockout at -310. There is no value in a straight bet, but what appeals to me here is Manzur has been stopped in two of her four losses.
I expect Serrano to bulldoze Manzur and get a stoppage, and I can see it happening within the first six rounds.
COVERS INTEL: Serrano enters with 32 career knockouts and can become the outright women’s boxing record-holder with one more stoppage, while Manzur has already been stopped twice in four career losses. Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur prop pick
At +250, and considering the skill gap between these two, this could be the sweet spot that may not seem all that risky. Serrano will be pushing the pace early on, and Manzur may have absorbed enough damage where she’ll be ready to go by the midpoint.
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Amanda Serrano | Lucrecia Manzur |
| To win outright | -3000 | +1100 |
| To win by KO/TKO | -450 | +1800 |
| To win by points or decision | +250 | +2500 |
Odds as of August 21.
Serrano by KO/TKO is heavily favored at -310, but that reflects the enormous disparity in experience and firepower. With Serrano chasing the women’s boxing knockout record against an overmatched opponent, a stoppage is the most logical outcome.
Amanda Serrano vs Lucrecia Manzur tale of the tape
| Amanda Serrano | Lucrecia Manzur | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Age | 27 |
| 5-foot-6 | Height | 5-foot-2 |
| Featherweight | Weight Class | Featherweight |
| 65.5 inches | Reach | N/A |
| 49-4 | Record | 14-4 |
| 32 | Wins by KO | 5 |
The Puerto Rican legend has more than three times as many professional fights and 32 knockouts compared to Manzur’s seven. Manzur is also taking an enormous step up in competition, while Serrano has spent more than a decade fighting at the championship level across multiple weight classes.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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