NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The New England Patriots are still the team to beat according to our weekly NFL Power Rankings. The Pats have topped this list in all but one week this season - the Kansas City Chiefs taking the top spot in Week 6 being the long hiccup in, yet another, brilliant season. The top movers this week were Jimmy Garoppolo and the surging San Francisco 49ers who jumped five spots up to No. 14.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 12-3-0
-7 New England
Incredibly, the five time Super Bowl champs have remained an undervalued commodity all year, ranked #2 in the NFL with a 10-5 ATS mark.
2 2 same 12-3-0
-5 Minnesota
The Vikings postseason run will only go as far as Case Keenum can take them, a bit of a concern now that he’s struggled twice in the last three weeks.
3 3 same 11-4-0
-4.5 New Orleans
Sean Payton deserves more love than I usually give him, guiding the Saints to the #1 yards per play offense in the NFL this season.
4 4 same 12-3-0
-4 Pittsburgh
The media buzz surrounding LB’s James Harrison’s departure is based on reputation, not reality. Harrison had three tackles all year.
5 5 same 11-4-0
-3.5 Los Angeles
Todd Gurley for MVP? I’d have no problems voting him second (after Tom Brady), especially considering that he’s the Rams #1 pass catcher too!
6 6 same 13-2-0
-3 Philadelphia
The Eagles postseason run will only go as far as Nick Foles can take them. Foles was largely ineffective on Monday Night vs the #32 ranked pass D.
7 7 same 11-4-0
-3 Carolina
Panthers QB Cam Newton on Sunday’s game at Atlanta: “We’re playing for a lot”. If things break right, they could be the #2 seed in the NFC.
8 8 same 10-5-0
-2.5 Jacksonville
The Jaguars #1 ranked pass defense got torched by Jimmy Garappolo last week. Expect a focused effort vs the Titans not a ‘meaningless’ Week 17 affair.
9 9 same 9-6-0
-2.5 Kansas City
This is NOT a true 'Patrick Mahomes at QB’ power rating, but frankly, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Mahomes excel in the season finale vs Denver.
10 14 up 4 9-6-0
-2 Seattle
Russell Wilson is on pace to set a career high in passing touchdowns, but his 7.2 yards per pass attempt is the lowest of his six year career.
11 10 down 1 9-6-0
-1.5 Atlanta
With their season on the line, the Falcons converted only 2 of 13 third down tries while turning only one of four red zone tries into touchdowns.
12 11 down 1 8-7-0
-1.5 San Diego
The Chargers playoff hopes remain alive, despite a run defense that got gashed again last week; now dead last in the NFL, allowing 4.9 yards per carry.
13 12 down 1 9-6-0
-1.5 Baltimore
The Ravens were outgained on a 'yards per play' basis again last week, now ranked #31 in yards per play on offense for the season.
14 19 up 5 5-10-0
0 San Francisco
I never expected San Fran to be power rated this high in 2017, but a 4-0 SU and ATS run with QB Jimmy Garappolo has transformed the team.
15 15 same 8-7-0
0.5 Dallas
Those who bet the Cowboys under their season win total (or plans to next year) should send a Christmas Card to Jerry Jones for keeping Jason Garrett around.
16 16 same 8-7-0
1 Tennessee
It sure doesn’t feel like it for fans, but Titans backers have enjoyed a rock solid pointspread run down the stretch: 4-1 ATS (3-1-1 for some) in their last five games.
17 18 up 1 7-8-0
1 Washington
The Redskins endless barrage of injuries just won’t stop, with LB Zack Brown ruled out for Week 17 along with DE Ziggy Hood.
18 13 down 5 8-7-0
1 Detroit
Head coach Jim Caldwell is clearly on the hot seat after the Lions dismal loss at Cincinnati last Sunday, ending any hope of a longshot playoff berth.
19 17 down 2 8-7-0
1.5 Buffalo
The Bills can end a 17 year playoff drought if things break right for them on Sunday, but forecasting models put their chances as the lowest of any team still alive.
20 22 up 2 7-8-0
2 Arizona
Carson Palmer became one of only four active NFL QB’s aged 38 or older this week. Can he stay healthy next year or will the Cards move on?
21 23 up 2 5-10-0
3 Denver
Only the Browns have a worse pointspread record than the Broncos in 2017, with only four Denver ATS covers in their first 15 games.
22 21 down 1 6-9-0
3 Oakland
The Raiders #32 ranked pass defense played great at Philly. They still lost and Jack Del Rio doesn’t have any more coordinators to throw under the bus.
23 26 up 3 4-11-0
3.5 Tampa Bay
The Bucs hadn’t covered a single pointspread in a loss all year until Week 15 against Atlanta. Then they did it again in Week 16 at Carolina.
24 25 up 1 5-10-0
3.5 Chicago
The Bears remain the #1 team in the NFL for Under bettors: Solid defense, limited offense and an 11-4 mark to the Under in 2017.
25 27 up 2 6-9-0
4 Cincinnati
The Bengals patchwork offensive line played their best game in months to beat Detroit, but Andy Dalton still wasn’t particularly sharp.
26 24 down 2 6-9-0
4 Miami
Bright spot in a losing season? With five more catches last week, WR Jarvis Landry went over 100 receptions for the second time in his four year career.
27 28 up 1 5-10-0
4.5 N.Y. Jets
The Jets ran for 6.6 yards per carry last week despite not having an NFL caliber starting quarterback. There could be a Christian Hackenberg sighting in Week 17.
28 20 down 8 7-8-0
4.5 Green Bay
Brett Hundley’s splits are bizarre. He’s got a 97.6 QB rating on the highway, but he’s yet to throw a TD pass at home, with a dismal 50.6 rating.
29 30 up 1 3-12-0
5 Indianapolis
Chuck Pagano on Week 17 vs Houston: "Last rodeo. It's our last ride together. ... What better way than to go out with a win?"
30 29 down 1 4-11-0
6 Houston
DeAndre Hopkins remains one of the most electric receivers in the league, snaring at least one reception in each of his first 79 career games.
31 31 same 2-13-0
6.5 N.Y. Giants
The Giants were one of the ten teams in the NFL that scored a single TD or less last weekend, suffering an ugly shutout in their road finale.
32 32 same 0-15-0
7 Cleveland
How little does rushing matter in the modern NFL? The Browns have the #1 rush defense in the league, allowing only 3.3 yards per carry.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View