The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills enter Week 11 with matching 6-3 records and the sting of disappointing losses last weekend.
Both offenses should be sharper on Sunday, setting the stage for fireworks at Highmark Stadium, and my Buccaneers vs. Bills anytime touchdown picks are placing the spotlight on Emeka Egbuka and Josh Allen.
Read more in my NFL picks for Sunday, November 16.
Buccaneers anytime touchdown pick
Emeka Egbuka (+145 at FanDuel)
Even after a heavy dose of preseason hype, Emeka Egbuka’s rapid rise has been stunning. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers rookie sits ninth in the NFL with 677 receiving yards through nine games, and only three players have more receiving touchdowns this season.
Egbuka has found the end zone six times already, including a 21-yard grab in Week 10 against the Patriots, and he clearly has Baker Mayfield’s trust. Now, he faces a Buffalo Bills defense that leaked 30 points last time out.
It’s also not as if Mayfield has a ton of other options in the passing game. The Bucs will again be without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, while the versatile Bucky Irving remains out as well.
Though Buffalo’s biggest struggles have come against the run this season, Egbuka is still a matchup nightmare, and I’m taking these plus odds for an anytime TD.
Bills anytime touchdown pick
Josh Allen (-115 at FanDuel)
After the high of beating the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 9, the Bills fell flat on their faces last weekend, but I expect Josh Allen to have a big-time response here.
That starts with breathing life into the passing game — a tougher task without Dalton Kincaid — and it includes more Allen magic on the crucial red zone snaps. He’s already racked up seven rushing TDs this season, and I’ll take this anytime TD price for No. 17 to call his own number.
Buffalo is still searching for a receiver who can consistently win on contested catches. That need wasn’t addressed at the trade deadline, and the smartest move now would be to lean even further into the running game. With a league-leading 153.2 yards per game on the ground through nine contests, it’s an X-factor that the Bills can expand.
James Cook is putting together a nice year, but it may require Allen’s physical rushing style this weekend to break through a stingy Tampa Bay front seven, particularly at the goal-line.
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