The Kansas City Chiefs face off against the Denver Broncos in a battle between Super Bowl contenders in Week 11.
Denver will be missing starting running back J.K. Dobbins, which is why my Chiefs vs. Broncos anytime touchdown picks are backing his replacement to find the end zone.
Check out my latest NFL picks for Sunday, November 16.
Chiefs anytime touchdown pick
Xavier Worthy (+240 at FanDuel)
The Denver Broncos have allowed a league-low 1.5 touchdowns per game. That said, if you're betting on any Kansas City Chiefs player to score a TD, Xavier Worthy looks like a great value bet at +240.
As a rookie last year, Worthy scored a total of 12 touchdowns (nine receiving and three rushing) in the regular season and playoffs. The speedster has scored just one touchdown this season, but there's plenty of reason to think that will turn around.
Despite the return of No. 1 WR Rashee Rice, Worthy has held on to his spot in the starting lineup while earning a snap share of 84% over the last two games. He had seven targets in both of those contests, and he's still also being used in the run game, where he has seven carries for 73 yards.
Chiefs head coach Andy Reid will need to get creative with his play-calling if he wants to score against this elite Denver defense, and that means getting the ball into the hands of Worthy.
Broncos anytime touchdown pick
RJ Harvey (+125 at FanDuel)
With J.K. Dobbins sidelined by a foot injury, Denver's backfield now belongs to RJ Harvey.
The running back was selected in the second round in April after a highly productive career at UCF. He was named a First-Team All-Big 12 selection last year after rushing 1577 yards with 25 total touchdowns.
Harvey has been productive in limited touches as a rookie, rushing for 214 yards and two touchdowns with 4.3 yards per carry. He's also a receiving threat and has logged 25 receptions for 175 yards with another four scores through the air.
Harvey has carried the ball just six times in the red zone, compared to 20 for Dobbins. Now that he's the lead back, he'll see his usage soar near the goal line.
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