My 6 Favorite Mexico vs England World Cup Goal Scorer Bets for Today

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 5, 2026 , 03:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Harry Kane has been at his very best during this World Cup, and there's no reason to stop backing him now.

Harry Kane England World Cup
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Harry Kane celebrates after scoring a goal.

Kalshi is one of our top prediction market apps, and they’re offering strong returns on their goal scoring market for these players, but there are a few other names that you should be keeping an eye on as well.

Here are my favorite Mexico vs. England predictions and World Cup picks broken down into two favorites, two values, and two sleepers. 

Mexico vs England anytime goal scorer picks

Player Kalshi
Probability
American
Odds
Favorites
England Harry Kane 41% +144
Mexico Raul Jimenez 34% +194
Best Values
England Jude Bellingham 19% +426
Mexico Julian Quinones 30% +233
Sleepers
England Declan Rice 10% +900
Mexico Roberto Alvarado 14% +614

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My Mexico vs England goal scorer predictions: Favorites

Harry Kane, England

Kalshi probability: 41%

Harry Kane means business at the World Cup. He's already on five goals in the tournament, after netting twice against Croatia, once against Panama, and twice against DR Congo. The Panama game is his only absence from the scoresheet in the last five matches he's played for England.

He recorded at least three shots per game in each of his five matches. In four of them, he put at least two shots on target. It's hard to see anyone with a better chance than Harry Kane to score in this game.

Raul Jimenez, Mexico

Kalshi probability: 34%

Raúl Jiménez has scored in two of his last three matches for Mexico. His national team has scored at least two goals in four of its last five games, so the attacking potential is there.

This has been Jimenez's most consistent World Cup by far. His first two goals came at the 2026 edition, but it's not just that. He started each of Mexico's first three World Cup matches and has been a constant threat to opposing defenses. 

He had two shots on target against South Africa, one against South Korea, and another against Ecuador. Having spent the last eight years in English football should provide extra motivation, and I'm backing him to find the net.

My Mexico vs England goal scorer predictions: Values

Jude Bellingham, England

Kalshi probability: 19%

England's No. 10 started all four games for Tuchel's team at the World Cup. Despite not coming off his best season at Real Madrid, Bellingham has looked in fine form as England have done what they needed to do to reach this stage.

He scored against Croatia and then again against Panama. I think he's worth considering in the goalscorer market, and Kalshi's +426 price offers solid value.

Julian Quinones, Mexico

Kalshi probability: 30%

Julian Quinones has scored or assisted in three of his last four appearances for Mexico. He's in good form and is one of Mexico's main attacking threats.

He's recorded at least one shot on target in each of Mexico's last four matches, and I'm backing him to make his presence felt against England as well. 

My Mexico vs England goal scorer predictions: Sleepers

Declan Rice, England

Kalshi probability: 10%

Declan Rice came to the World Cup after a solid season with Arsenal. Winning the Premier League should give him plenty of confidence after years of falling short. He's the type of player who delivers almost every time he's out there.

He isn't England's biggest goal threat, but his physical presence at set pieces, his runs into the box, and his ability to shoot from distance could allow him to score his first goal of the tournament tonight.

Roberto Alvarado, Mexico

Kalshi probability: 14%

Roberto Alvarado has either scored or assisted in three of his last four official appearances for Mexico. He's consistently looked to threaten the opposition. He had one shot against South Korea and Czechia, then no fewer than three against Ecuador, although none were on target.

He has looked more dangerous with each game, and if that trend continues against England, he could be a very pleasant surprise for traders.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

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