Wings vs Mercury Predictions, Picks, Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

The Dallas Wings are on a mini skid, but our WNBA picks think their ability to defend the three ball will help them cover the spread against the Phoenix Mercury.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
May 25, 2024 • 16:53 ET • 4 min read
Arike Ogunobowale WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Wings are looking to get back in the win column after back-to-back losses, while the Phoenix Mercury are looking to add on to their current three-game winning streak on May 25. 

My Wings vs. Mercury prediction is anticipating Dallas to keep things tight on the road, and you can find out all the deets in my WNBA picks below.

Wings vs Mercury predictions

My best bet
Wings +4.5 (-110 at Caesars)

My analysis
The Wings started the season with an eight-point home win over the Chicago Sky, covering the spread by half a point. However, they then lost the rematch at home three days later and then lost their road opener to the Atlanta Dream by five points but covered the six-point spread.  

The Mercury lost their season opener to the Las Vegas Aces on the road, but still covered the 16.5-point spread. They then won consecutive games straight up as underdogs against the Dream and in the rematch with the Aces. Finally, they won their last game against the Washington Mystics as home favorites but failed to cover the 6.5-point spread. 

These two teams match up well, as the Mercury like to do most of their scoring from beyond the arc, but the Wings' strength on defense is guarding the deep ball. Dallas leads the league, holding opponents to only 26.7% shooting from three. On the other end, the Mercury’s weakness on defense is allowing threes, but the Wings only shoot 16.3 threes per game — last in the WNBA. 

With such even mismatches on each side, this game will likely come down to the size factor that Dallas has. Without Brittney Griner, the Mercury depend heavily on their shooting to outscore opponents. However, the great perimeter defense from the Wings and their size advantage down low should help them cover this spread and possibly pull off the road upset. 

Wings vs Mercury same-game parlay (SGP)

Wings +4.5

Teaira McCowan Over 9.5 rebounds

Kahleah Copper Under 24.5 points

Teaira McCowan is averaging 10.7 rebounds per game, and the Mercury rank eighth in rebounds allowed. McCowan should be the main benefactor tonight. 

Finally, I'll add Copper’s point total Under. It is sitting at 24.5, which is four points below her 28.5 average, but she has still gone Under this total twice this season. The Wings' perimeter defense will limit her scoring chances and keep her from reaching this number. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Wings vs Mercury odds

Wings vs Mercury live odds

Get the latest Wings vs Mercury WNBA odds for tonight.

Wings vs Mercury opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas -1.5 (-110) | Phoenix +1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dallas -125 | Phoenix +105
  • Over/Under: Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110)

Wings vs Mercury spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Mercury opened as a one-point favorite, but the line has moved heavily toward them to make them a 4.5-point favorite as of Saturday afternoon.
  • The Underdog is 7-2-1 against the spread in the last ten matchups between these two teams.
  • The total opened at 166.5 but has moved as high as 168 at most books. 
  • The Under has hit in five of the last six matchups between these two teams. 

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Wings vs Mercury trend

The Wings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Mercury are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing straight up record. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Mercury.

Wings vs Mercury game info

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Saturday, May 25, 2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Arizona's Family 3TV, Mercury Live (Livestream), Bally Sports SW

Wings vs Mercury latest injuries

Wings: Jaelyn Brown G (Out), Satou Sabally F (Out).
Mercury: Brittney Griner C, Sug Sutton G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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