The 2026 WNBA Draft odds have finally come into focus, just hours before the picks start coming in.
After weeks of uncertainty at the top of the board, Azzi Fudd is now a heavy favorite to be selected No. 1 overall, with implied probability sitting north of 80%.
It’s the first time this market has shown real separation, and it signals a potential turning point in how the Dallas Wings are approaching the top pick tonight.
- Latest Update: Azzi Fudd (-425) is now the clear No. 1 pick favorite in the WNBA Draft.
WNBA Draft odds to be No. 1 pick
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Azzi Fudd |
-425 | -425 | -500 |
 Awa Fam |
+550 | +450 | +600 |
 Lauren Betts |
+1100 | +1000 | +1100 |
 Olivia Miles |
+2500 | +2500 | +2200 |
 Flau'jae Johnson |
+10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Odds as of 4-13-26.
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How the Wings' free agency moves are shaping the No. 1 pick market
The Dallas Wings didn’t just tweak their roster; they answered key roster questions before the draft even started. And the betting market has reacted accordingly.
Locking in Arike Ogunbowale keeps a high-usage scorer in place, while adding Jessica Shepard brought in frontcourt depth and versatility.
But the biggest move?
Signing Alanna Smith to a three-year max deal.
Smith — the reigning co-Defensive Player of the Year — gives Dallas exactly what they were lacking: elite rim protection, defensive versatility, and proven production in the frontcourt.
With Smith anchoring the defense and Shepard adding depth, the urgency to draft a developmental big like Awa Fam drops significantly.
The Wings don’t need to gamble on upside anymore.
They can take the most WNBA-ready scorer on the board.
And that’s why Azzi Fudd has separated as the clear favorite to go No. 1 overall.
Breaking down the favorite to go No. 1 overall
Azzi Fudd
Azzi Fudd spent four seasons at UConn, developing into one of the most efficient perimeter scorers in the class. She averaged 17.3 points per game in her final season while shooting an elite 42% from three-point range for her career, consistently spacing the floor on a loaded Huskies roster.
More importantly, she was a key contributor on a championship-caliber team, showing the ability to play within structure while still delivering high-level scoring.
There’s also a natural fit with the Dallas Wings if they lean toward familiarity, as Fudd was a four-year teammate — and off-court partner — of Paige Bueckers at UConn. That built-in chemistry could make the transition seamless and strengthen a team that appears to be in win-now mode.
Awa Fam
Awa Fam enters the draft as one of the youngest and most intriguing prospects on the board, bringing a rare combination of size, mobility, and professional experience. The 6’4” center has already competed against grown professionals with Valencia Basket and the Spanish national team, showing flashes of high-end upside despite modest counting stats.
She averaged just seven points and 4.8 rebounds this past season, but her value goes beyond the box score, projecting as a long-term interior presence with defensive versatility and room to grow offensively.
For the Dallas Wings, Fam represents a different direction than the guard-heavy route. But after recent free agency moves addressed their need for size and defense, that path looks far less likely.
Fam still offers long-term upside — but in a market that’s now pricing in immediate impact, she’s shifted from co-favorite to clear second option.
Lauren Betts
Like Fudd, Lauren Betts is a winner, coming off a national championship at UCLA, where she was named Most Outstanding Player. The four-year standout averaged 17.1 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 3.2 assists while shooting an efficient 62% from the field, anchoring both ends of the floor.
At 6’7”, she offers elite size and projects immediately as a high-level rim protector, with the defensive presence to impact games from day one.
The question is how well her offensive game translates at the next level. While dominant in college, her scoring profile may require adjustment against faster, more physical pro defenses.
If Dallas is looking for the safest frontcourt option with proven production, Betts checks the box. But with the Wings already reinforcing their interior defense, her path to No. 1 now requires a significant pivot away from the direction the roster — and betting market — are pointing.
That leaves her firmly on the outside of the top pick conversation.
A lack of clear direction
Maybe Wings head coach Jose Fernandez was being honest — or maybe he was buying time.
Fernandez is on record saying:
"There’s been some separation from some folks, so it’s going to be based on need.”
At the time, that sounded like a team still weighing its options.
Now? It reads differently.
Since those comments, Dallas has actively addressed its biggest roster holes in free agency, most notably adding an elite defensive presence in the frontcourt. That shift has quietly clarified what their “need” actually is.
It's not size or rim protection anymore. It's scoring and perimeter shooting.
That’s why the betting market has moved so aggressively toward Azzi Fudd.
Betting insight: Is there still value?
Azzi Fudd is now priced like a true No. 1 pick, and that’s the problem.
At -300 or shorter, the value is gone unless you believe this pick is already decided behind the scenes.
Awa Fam still offers intrigue at longer odds, but the path to No. 1 now requires a major shift in team philosophy — something the Wings’ recent moves suggest is unlikely.
While I don't recommend laying upwards of -425, I think that number will only get shorter before Monday night rolls around.
WNBA Draft FAQ
Azzi Fudd is currently listed as the heavy favorite at sportsbooks, with Awa Fam and Lauren Betts slowly falling behind.
The 2026 WNBA Draft didn’t start with a consensus No. 1 pick, as Azzi Fudd, Awa Fam, and Lauren Betts all had legitimate cases at different points in the cycle. But after Dallas addressed its frontcourt in free agency, the betting market shifted hard toward Fudd as the most likely top selection.
Azzi Fudd became the favorite to go No. 1 overall after the Dallas Wings addressed their biggest roster needs in free agency, particularly adding frontcourt defense with Alanna Smith.
The 2026 WNBA Draft is slated for Monday, April 13 at The Shed at Hudson Yards in New York City. TV coverage via ESPN.
