The Golden State Valkyries (-10.5) will close out their regular season by visiting the Los Angeles Sparks on Thursday night.
The Valkyries have mastered their slow, grinding style, and that has me taking the under in my Valkyries vs. Sparks predictions.
Let's take a closer look at all my free WNBA picks for Thursday, Sept. 24.
TOP PICK
Valkyries vs Sparks prediction: Under 157.5
The Golden State Valkyries play at the slowest pace in the WNBA, averaging just 78.1 possessions per 40 minutes. It's a strategy that leads to low scoring games, with the Valkyries playing to an average total of just 157.4 ppg for the season.
The Los Angeles Sparks might try to speed them up, but that won't add much to the point total. The Sparks have averaged 82.2 ppg over their last 10 contests, and that number drops precipitously if you discount a 105-point performance against the Portland Fire.
I'm backing the Under tonight, even if it drops to 156.5.
COVERS INTEL: The Valkyries hold opponents to a WNBA-low 47.8% effective shooting percentage, but rank 11th offensively in that category themselves at 50.1%.
Valkyries vs Sparks combo
The Valkyries have now won five straight games against the Sparks, but only two of those wins came by double digits. That's one of the downsides of their grinding, slow-paced style, as it makes it hard to generate blowouts even in games where Golden State is never in trouble. I'm backing the Sparks to cover a 10.5-point spread tonight.
Gabby Williams has picked up 4+ rebounds in three of her last four games. She should have little trouble keeping up that trend tonight against a Sparks team that has the league's worst total rebounding rate at 46.6%. That makes her rebounding prop a good value add for a combo tonight.
Valkyries vs Sparks combo
- Under 157.5
- Sparks +10.5
- Gabby Williams 4+ rebounds
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Valkyries vs Sparks player prop: Gabby Williams 2+ threes made (47%)
Williams has hit multiple threes in three of her last four games. The one exception was on Tuesday against the Fire, but even then she took eight shots from deep, and that consistent volume makes her a good pick to keep firing away from beyond the arc tonight.
The Sparks allow opponents to score efficiently, allowing 108.1 points per 100 possessions, and let them shoot 33.7% from three-point range. With a modest total to hit and a recent history of taking her shots, I'm backing Williams to get 2+ threes in tonight's game.
- Top picks: 31-29, -0.33 units
- Combos: 10-50, -3.47 units
- Player Props: 27-11, +13.91 units
Valkyries vs Sparks odds
- Spread: Valkyries -10.5 | Sparks +10.5
- Moneyline: Valkyries 84% | Sparks 16%
- Over/Under: Over 157.5 | Under 157.5
Valkyries vs Sparks trend
The Under is 5-1 in six lifetime meetings between the Valkyries and Sparks. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Sparks
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Thursday, Sept. 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | WNBA League Pass |
Valkyries vs Sparks latest injuries
Valkyries: None.
Sparks: Cameron Brink (Out), Aaliyah Nye (Out), Dearica Hamby (Probable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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