The Atlanta Dream will try to snap their four-game losing streak when they host the Golden State Valkyries for the Fourth of July.
Atlanta comes in as a 4.5-point favorite, but I’m taking the visitors to pull off the upset in my Valkyries vs. Dream predictions below.
Let’s see why I’m taking Golden State to win as I break down my free WNBA picks for Saturday, July 4.
Valkyries vs Dream prediction
Valkyries vs Dream best bet: Valkyries moneyline (+140)
The Golden State Valkyries lead the league in defensive scoring, allowing 77.9 ppg. That’s not all down to their slow pace of play: they also rank second in defensive rating (102.1), and hold opponents to 42.3% shooting from the field.
Combine that with a 39.9% three-point rate and shooting 35% from beyond the arc, and you have a winning game plan.
The Atlanta Dream have lost four in a row, including two at the hands of the Valkyries last week. I’m taking Golden State to win this one outright, which I think is worth a look at +120 or better.
COVERS INTEL: The Valkyries hold opponents to a league-low 45.6% shooting from two-point range, which will be trouble for an Atlanta team that relies on getting 50.9% of its points in the paint, more than any other team in the WNBA.
Valkyries vs Dream same-game parlay
The Valkyries play strong defense and play slowly. The Dream are also stingy, ranking 4th in the WNBA with a 104.2 defensive rating. Both games between these teams last week ended well below this total.
Golden State has hit the Under in seven of its last eight games, and I’m backing the Under today.
I’m also taking Valkyries forward Gabby Williams to hit her rebounding total. While Williams (15.8 ppg) is best known as a scorer, she has shown a knack for crashing the boards, getting 4+ rebounds in each of her games against the Dream last week.
Beyond that, she’s averaging 3.8 rebounds per game and should be able to get to the Over again in Saturday’s matchup.
Valkyries vs Dream SGP
- Valkyries moneyline
- Under 163.5
- Gabby Williams Over 3.5 rebounds
Valkyries vs Dream player prop pick
Angel Reese Over 26.5 points + rebounds (-105)
Angel Reese is getting more than enough usage to reach double digits on a regular basis. She’s averaging 14.8 ppg and hasn’t scored fewer than 10 points in a game since May 17.
Her rebounding prowess is well documented: she snagged 12 boards in both games with Golden State last week, and is averaging 11.7 rebounds per game for the season.
Reese put up 15 points and 12 boards last time out against the Valkyries, and has put up double-doubles in three of her last four games. At home, I like Reese to hit her points + rebounds Over.
- Best bet: 10-14 -5.21 units
- SGP: 4-20, +2.55
- Player prop: 4-1, +2.38 units
Valkyries vs Dream odds
- Spread: Valkyries +3.5 | Dream -3.5
- Moneyline: Valkyries +140 | Dream -165
- Over/Under: Over 163.5 | Under 163.5
Valkyries vs Dream trend
Golden State is 7-2 straight up in its last nine games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Dream
| Location | Gateway Center, College Park, GA |
| Date | Saturday, July 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Valkyries vs Dream latest injuries
Valkyries: None.
Dream: Brionna Jones (Out)
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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