After a brutal 11-game losing streak, the Seattle Storm showed just how good they can be, knocking off Top 5 squads New York and Atlanta in back-to-back games.
The next test is the Phoenix Mercury, but with All-Star Alyssa Thomas back from a 1-game suspension, my Storm vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks have Phoenix playing inspired ball on Thursday, July 2.
Storm vs Mercury prediction
Storm vs Mercury best bet: Mercury -3.5 (-110)
The Seattle Storm have dropped eight straight road games, largely because their offense has stalled.
They're averaging just 75 points while shooting 39.8% from the field, and 31.4% from three on this skid.
The Phoenix Mercury have won three consecutive meetings with Seattle, including both this season, holding the Storm to just 38% shooting each time.
With assist leader Alyssa Thomas back in the lineup, the Mercury's offense should be more efficient, and I like their defense to again throw Seattle off rhythm on the road.
I’d happily back the Mercury as long as 5.5-point favorites.
COVERS INTEL: The Storm have yet to beat a Western Conference opponent this year. They are scoring just 79 points per game against teams in their conference, shooting 41.3% from the field and 34.3% from 3-point range.
Storm vs Mercury same-game parlay
Kahleah Copper is on a nice scoring binge. The 10th-year pro was the Mercury's leading scorer in an 89-80 win over Toronto, picking up the slack for a suspended Thomas with 27 points.
That makes it five times in six games she’s gone for at least 20 points, including 41 against the Sparks.
Rookie Flau’jae Johnson is coming off her two best scoring games of the year, dropping 24 on Atlanta after scoring 28 against New York.
But those efforts were both at home. She’s struggled on the road this year, averaging just 11 points on 34% shooting. Her streak screeches to a halt on Thursday.
Storm vs Mercury SGP
- Mercury -3.5
- Kahleah Copper Over 18.5 points
- Flau’jae Johnson Under 12.5 points
- Best bet: 6-7, -0.58 units
- SGP: 0-12, -12 units
- Player prop: 1-0, +1.05 units
Storm vs Mercury odds
- Spread: Storm +3.5 | Mercury -3.5
- Moneyline: Storm +145 | Mercury -170
- Over/Under: Over 167.5 | Under 167.5
Storm vs Mercury trend
Eleven of the Mercury's last 12 home games have gone Over. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Storm vs Mercury
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Thursday, July 2, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | CW Seattle, Mercury+ |
Storm vs Mercury latest injuries
Storm: Ezi Magbegor (Out), Jordan Horston (Day-to-Day).
Mercury: Natasha Mack (Out), Sami Whitcomb (Out), Monique Akoa Makani (Day-to-Day).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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