Two of the top teams in the WNBA will face off as the New York Liberty host the Minnesota Lynx on Friday night.
Minnesota comes in as a 1.5-point favorite, and I like it to cover on the road in my Lynx vs. Liberty predictions.
Let’s take a closer look at this matchup and get my free WNBA picks for Friday, July 3.
Lynx vs Liberty prediction
Lynx vs Liberty best bet: Lynx -1.5 (-115)
The Minnesota Lynx are blowing away their opposition, outscoring opponents by a league-high 11.2 points per game.
They are the league’s best shooting team from deep (37.2%), allow the WNBA’s lowest opposing effective field goal percentage (45.7%), and rank third in rebounding rate (53.2%).
The New York Liberty can compete with Minnesota and the Las Vegas Aces, but are still figuring out how to get the best out of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones at the same time.
New York has lost four of its last six overall, and I like the Lynx at -2.5 or less.
COVERS INTEL: The Lynx force 15.5 turnovers per game, third-best in the WNBA. That should lead to extra possessions against a New York team that turns the ball over an average of 15.4 times per game, the league’s fourth-worst mark.
Lynx vs Liberty same-game parlay
These are two of the best defensive teams in the WNBA, with Minnesota and New York ranking second and third in points against, respectively.
The Lynx also have the best defensive rating in the league at 97.4, while the Liberty tend to play a bit deliberately, rating in the bottom five in most pace metrics. I like the Under in what should be a hard-fought game.
I’m also taking Lynx forward Natasha Howard to hit her scoring prop at Over 15.5 points. In the absence of Minnesota star Napheesa Collier, Howard (17.7 ppg) has become the key veteran presence on the team.
She’s put up 20+ points in each of her last three games, and I like her to have a big scoring night tonight.
Lynx vs Liberty SGP
- Lynx -1.5
- Under 174.5
- Natasha Howard Over 15.5 points
Lynx vs Liberty player prop pick
Olivia Miles Over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)
Olivia Miles has been a revelation for the Lynx in her rookie season. The former TCU Horned Frogs star is averaging 18.7 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game and is the runaway favorite to win WNBA Rookie of the Year.
Miles has gone for 30+ PRA in four of her last five games. She’s nearly getting there on scoring alone on many nights, and should be able to comfortably dish out assists against a Liberty team that creates a league-low 11.8 turnovers per game.
- Best bet: 10-13, -4.21 units
- SGP: 4-19, +3.55 units
- Player prop: 4-0, +3.38 units
Lynx vs Liberty odds
- Spread: Lynx -1.5 (-115) | Liberty +1.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Lynx -130 | Liberty +110
- Over/Under: Over 174.5 | Under 174.5
Lynx vs Liberty trend
Minnesota is a league-best 15-4 ATS this season. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Lynx vs Liberty
| Location | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date | Friday, July 3, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Lynx vs Liberty latest injuries
Lynx: Dorka Juhasz (GTD), Napheesa Collier (Out).
Liberty: Satou Sabally (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
