Tempo vs Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 29, 2026 , 04:35 PM ET • 4 min read

The Mercury and Tempo are both finding it hard to score points right now, and with Toronto on a back-to-back, a slow and low-scoring game is on tap for Saturday night.

wnba

Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Kahleah Copper of the Phoenix Mercury WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kahleah Copper of the Phoenix Mercury WNBA

The Phoenix Mercury are overwhelming favorites to snap a four-game losing streak when they host the injury-riddled Toronto Tempo on Saturday night.

With neither offense showing much life lately, I’m looking to the total in my Tempo vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks for Saturday, Aug. 29.

Tempo vs Mercury prediction

Tempo vs Mercury best bet: Under 174.5 -112

The Toronto Tempo and Phoenix Mercury are each poor on both ends of the court, but the lack of offensive firepower has been a consistent problem lately.

Toronto is averaging 78.6 ppg over their last five outings, while Phoenix ranks 11th in scoring this season at 83.7 ppg.

The one thing that might push the total higher would be the Tempo's...well, tempo. But Toronto's on the second game of a back-to-back, making it more likely to play at the Mercury's pace, which ranks fifth-slowest in the WNBA. 

I'm backing the Under tonight at totals of 172.5 or more. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Mercury are averaging 0.94 points per play, a bottom-five figure in the WNBA, with the Tempo not much better at 0.95 points per play.

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Tempo vs Mercury same-game parlay

The Tempo aren't winning games, but bettors have taken advantage of the fact that Toronto typically gets a lot of points.

The Tempo have now covered in six of their last eight games, while Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in its last eight. I'm taking Toronto to get the cover as long as the spread stays at +8.5 or more.

I'm rounding out my SGP tonight with a bet on Kiki Rice to hit the Over on her assists total. Rice has put up 5+ assists in five of her last eight games, coming up just short with four on two other occasions.

The Mercury allow opponents to rack up 21.5 assists per game, and I like Rice to take advantage of that tonight.

Tempo vs Mercury SGP +495

  • Under 174.5
  • Tempo +9.5
  • Kiki Rice Over 4.5 assists

Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!

Tempo vs Mercury player prop pick

Kahleah Copper Over 22.5 points -108

Kahleah Copper is averaging 21.3 ppg this season for the Mercury and is the clear primary scorer for Phoenix with Kelsey Plum injured.

Copper is coming off a 35-point performance on Thursday, marking the second time in three games she's gone for 35+ points.

Toronto is the worst defensive team in the league, allowing 93.6 ppg and holding the league's highest defensive rating (115.1).

With her current heavy usage, Copper should find plenty of soft spots against the Tempo to hit her scoring Over tonight.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 27-28, -3.01 units
  • SGP: 10-45, +1.53 units
  • Player prop: 27-7, +17.91 units

Tempo vs Mercury odds

  • Spread: Tempo +9.5 (-110) | Mercury -9.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Tempo +330 | Mercury -425
  • Over/Under: Over 174.5 (-108) | Under 174.5 (-112)

Tempo vs Mercury trend

The Under is 4-0 in Toronto's last four games. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Tempo vs Mercury

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Saturday, August 29, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV TSN, KPHE

Tempo vs Mercury latest injuries

Tempo: Not yet submitted. 
Mercury: Kahleah Copper (Probable), Kelsey Plum (Out), Marta Suarez (Questionable)
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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