Tempo vs Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 22, 2026 , 10:27 AM ET • 4 min read

Marina Mabrey is carrying Toronto's injury-thinned attack into Atlanta. Jason Logan bet Mabrey to top her scoring prop when she exploded for 37 points Friday, and he's back for more with her points total still too low.

WNBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
TOR
45 %
ATL
55 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Marina Mabrey o19.5  Points Scored (-110) Marina Mabrey o19.5 Points Scored (-110)
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Toronto Tempo guard Marina Mabrey WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect.

Toronto Tempo guard Marina Mabrey is option No. 1, No. 2, and No. 3 with the team missing plenty of offensive firepower when it visits the Atlanta Dream.

With starters Brittney Sykes, Kiki Rice, and Nyara Sabally all dealing with injuries, Mabrey is carrying Toronto. 

My Tempo vs. Dream predictions see much more from Mabrey, and my WNBA picks are once again taking the veteran guard to top her scoring prop on June 22.

Tempo vs Dream prediction

Tempo vs Dream best bet: Marina Mabrey Over 19.5 points (-110)

Marina Mabrey’s nightly scoring props weren’t too far from tonight’s point total when the Toronto Tempo were healthy. But with 51% of scoring possibly missing, Mabrey’s ceiling climbs considerably.

We saw that on Friday, dropping 37 points on a season-high 24 field goals vs. Connecticut. Mabrey already topped the Tempo in usage (28.4%), and that metric soared to 37% last game.

This current ask of 19.5 points vs. the Atlanta Dream is a tick shorter than Friday’s closing total but just above her average of 18.5 O/U in the previous nine games.

Projections sit at 21.5 points, which should price the Over at -140, but I see 22+ tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Mabrey doesn’t shrink in rival arenas. Her usage jumps to 29.5% as a visitor — tied for fourth highest among WNBA players with 100+ minutes — and she shoots 48.5% compared to 38.7% at home.

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Tempo vs Dream same-game parlay

These offenses won’t shy away from picking up the pace, and both want to shoot a surplus of triples, especially with the game script calling for Toronto to trail big.

The Tempo’s defense doesn’t show up on the road — leading to an 8-1 Over/Under count as a visitor — and these foes topped a closing total of 170.5 O/U in their June 14 meeting.

Mabrey was good for 20+ points when the Toronto starters were healthy. With Brittney Sykes, Kiki Rice, and Nyara Sabally hurting, she’s carrying the Tempo on offense. She had the green light to go isolation vs. the Sun, and while she might not reach Friday’s bar, she’ll have plenty of chances to top this modest total of 19.5 O/U.

Angel Reese scored 15 points in limited minutes in a blowout of Toronto last week. She’s finding her way in the Atlanta offense, with spikes in FGAs and usage in the last five games. She’s scored 16+ points in five of her last six outings and can beat up a soft Toronto interior that allows the most points in the paint.

Tempo vs Dream SGP

  • Over 177.5 points
  • Marina Mabrey Over 19.5 points
  • Angel Reese Over 15.5 points

Tempo vs Dream player prop pick

Angel Reese Over 15.5 points (-112)

Angel Reese roughed up Toronto for 15 points and 17 rebounds on June 14 and has upped her offensive involvement over the past five games. 

Reese’s usage jumped from 22.9% to 27.8% in that stretch, while boosting her field goal attempts to a team-high 16.2 per game and averaging more than 19 points.

While her lowest-scoring total in this span was against the Tempo, that was also her lightest workload. She played just 27 minutes in a one-sided win for Atlanta.

Toronto doesn’t offer much pushback for Reese, as the frontcourt is hurting with Sabally questionable and Temi Fagbenle limited. The Tempo are horrible at protecting the paint — especially on the road — allowing a league-worst 48.7 PITP as visitors.

Toronto also gives up 14.9 second-chance points, fueled by host opponents snatching 10.1 offensive rebounds per outing. That's a perfect fit for Reese’s infamous “Me-Bounds”.

Game models call for at least 16 points, and my projection sits at 16.8, which should have Over 15.5 points asking -120.

Jason Logan's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 8-8, -1.05 units
  • SGP: 3-12, +0.15 units

Tempo vs Dream odds

  • Spread: Tempo +13.5 | Dream -13.5
  • Moneyline: Tempo +650 | Dream -1000
  • Over/Under: Over 177.5 | Under 177.5

Tempo vs Dream trend

The new-look Dream are starting to gel on offense in recent outings. Atlanta is No. 3 in offensive rating overall, lifting that metric to the top in the WNBA the past six games (123.5) while going 5-1 Over/Under in that stretch. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Tempo vs Dream

Location Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
Date Monday, June 22, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN, WANF

Tempo vs Dream latest injuries

Tempo: Brittney Sykes G (Out), Kiki Rice G (Out), Nyara Sabally C (Questionable).
Dream: Brionna Jones  C (Out), Aaliyah Nye G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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