With a intriguing three-game WNBA slate on tap tonight — headlined by the Phoenix Mercury visiting Connecticut and Golden State traveling to Dallas to face Paige Bueckers & Co. — the night’s ultimate value lies in D.C.
The surging Washington Mystics anchor my top moneyline picks, with center Shakira Austin set to dominate the interior against the Atlanta Dream and power Washington at home.
Let's get into the best WNBA picks & moneyline plays for Friday, August 7.
WNBA moneyline picks for August 7
| Matchup | Pick (Probability) |
|---|---|
 Dreamvs  Mystics |
34% |
 Mercuryvs  Sun |
71% |
 Valkyriesvs  Wings |
50% |
| 💰 All moneylines parlayed | 7.48x |
Prices courtesy of Kalshi as of August 7.
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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 7
Dream vs Mystics: Washington Mystics (34% probability)
I'm rolling with the underdog on this one. Sure, the Atlanta Dream have gotten back on track recently but given the track record of the Washington Mystics lately; they love pulling off an upset and this'll be another one tonight.
Central to Washington’s recent success is center Shakira Austin, who has taken her game to another level. Coming off consecutive dominant performances — highlighted by a back-to-back double-double performances against Dallas — Austin provides Washington with a major structural edge inside.
Her relentless glass-cleaning, interior efficiency, and presence anchoring the defense give the Mystics the two-way control needed to exploit Atlanta's frontcourt and claim an outright victory.
Give the Mystics more credit where it's due. They've shown that they're nothing to sleep on.
Mercury vs Sun: Phoenix Mercury (71% probability)
The revamped backcourt of the Phoenix Mercury gives them a decisive edge tonight over the flailing Connecticut Sun.
The midseason addition of elite playmaker Kelsey Plum — fresh off of efficient 20 and 19-point performances in her first two games with Phoenix — pairs seamlessly with high-volume scorer Kahleah Copper to form a lethal perimeter attack that Connecticut’s backcourt defense simply cannot contain.
Supported by the versatile frontcourt production of Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner, Phoenix possesses the ideal balance to match Connecticut's physicality inside and push the pace for an outright road win.
Valkyries vs Wings: Golden State Valkyries (50% probability)
Coming off back-to-back wins over Toronto, the Golden State Valkyries enter with sharp momentum.
Janelle Salaün is playing stellar basketball, coming off a 21-point performance, while a deep rotation led by Gabby Williams and Tiffany Hayes gives Golden State superior perimeter defense.
Facing a Dallas Wings squad coming off a loss in Washington, Golden State’s balanced execution makes them the night's top pick.
Today's WNBA moneyline parlay
Washington Mystics moneyline
Phoenix Mercury moneyline
Golden State Valkyries moneyline
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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