An OT thriller on Thursday kept the Connecticut Sun undefeated and first in the Eastern Conference as they head to Wintrust Arena to take on the Chicago Sky.
With an MVP candidate leading the way, the WNBA odds have 4-0 Connecticut as a 6-point road favorite, and Alyssa Thomas is the focus of my Sun vs. Sky prediction for tonight’s showdown with rookie sensation Angel Reese.
Check out my WNBA picks for Saturday, May 25.
Sun vs Sky predictions
My best bet
Alyssa Thomas Over 33.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
If any player can be both under-appreciated and a WNBA MVP odds candidate at the same time, it’s Alyssa Thomas. The four-time All-Star finished second in MVP voting last season to Breanna Stewart of the New York Liberty, and is shaping up for another Top-3 finish this year.
It’s hard to argue that there’s a better all-around player in the WNBA with her defense, inside game, rebounding dominance, and playmaking instinct. She ranks 15th in points per game (17.0), fifth in rebounds (10.5), and second in assists (8.3) this season after combining to average 33.3 last year.
While this Sky team is off to a strong start and just upset the Liberty on the road, it’s a small sample size from a team that was just 18-22 last year and ranked in the back half of the league in defensive rating.
Despite the additions of Angel Reese and Diamond DeShields paying dividends early, Chicago is still giving up the fourth-most 2-pointers per game (23.3) and the most rebounds (39).
That’s where Thomas makes her money, down low. Chicago is currently rolling with a three-guard starting lineup, too, and is still without No. 3 overall pick Kamilla Cardoso. That should help the 6-foot-2 Thomas be a bully inside.
With her ability to clean the glass and get to the rim, it’s almost unfair that she’s also one of the WNBA’s best passers. Watching Thomas rip down a rebound and then immediately start leading the fast break before finding a cutter is a thing of beauty.
It certainly helps that she has a frontcourt partner in DeWanna Bonner, who’s capable of consistently taking advantage of Thomas’ mesmerizing passes. The assists are just a cherry on top of this prop with the way the Sun’s star will be capable of doing damage around the rim as both a scorer and rebounder.
Sun vs Sky same-game parlay (SGP)
Alyssa Thomas Over 33.5 points, rebounds, and assists
Angel Reese Under 7.5 rebounds
Marina Mabrey Under 2.5 made 3-pointers
For as great of a start as Reese has had to her WNBA career, the Sun could pose the toughest test yet. Not only will she have to deal with Thomas in the paint, but Connecticut also deploys a pair of 6-foot-4 bigs in Bonner and Brionna Jones.
While Reese is pulling down a team-leading 8.7 boards per game, the Sun rank first in the WNBA in rebounds allowed per game (31.3). It’ll be a challenge for her and leading-scoring Marina Mabrey to continue their impressive play against this ferocious Connecticut defense.
With Reese owning the paint for Chicago, Mabrey has been a perfect complement in the backcourt. However, she’s still struggling to find a rhythm with her long-range game. Mabrey is shooting just 30.8% from deep and this is a Connecticut team that’s ranked Top 3 in 3-point percentage allowed in each of the last five seasons.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Sun vs Sky odds
Sun vs Sky live odds
Get the latest Sun vs Sky WNBA odds for tonight.
Sun vs Sky opening odds
- Spread: Connecticut -6.5 (-110) | Chicago +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Connecticut -280 | Chicago +230
- Over/Under: Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110)
Sun vs Sky spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Sun opened as a 6.5-point road favorite, with most books coming down to 6 as tip-off approaches.
- Despite being 4-0, the Sun are just 1-3 ATS this season, while the Sky are 2-1.
- The Over/Under opened as low as 157.5, with most books now sitting at 159.5.
- Connecticut is 3-1 betting the Over this season, and Chicago is 2-1.
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Sun vs Sky trend
The Over is 6-1 in Sun’s last seven games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sun vs Sky.
Sun vs Sky game info
| Location: | Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Saturday, May 25, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBS Sports |
Sun vs Sky latest injuries
Sun: None.
Sky: Kamilla Cardoso C (Out), Diamond DeShields G (Questionable), Isabelle Harrison F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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