Have reports of the Las Vegas Aces’ demise been greatly exaggerated? No, no, they have not. If the WNBA season ended today — no, it does not end today — Las Vegas would miss the playoffs.
But the dynasty of the past should look a bit revived tonight against the Connecticut Sun. Simply put, Connecticut is that bad, worst in the WNBA by a wide margin.
My Sun vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks are largely based on doubt in Connecticut. Tip comes at 10 ET on Wednesday, June 25.
Sun vs Aces predictions
My Sun vs Aces best bet: Under 160.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
The Las Vegas Aces are favored by 19 points. A team with the No. 9 net rating in the WNBA should not be favored by 19 points against anybody.
Wait, let’s rephrase that. A team with the No. 9 net rating in the WNBA should not be favored by 19 points against anybody except the Connecticut Sun.
Connecticut’s net rating of -20.3 implies the Sun are outscored by 20 points per 100 possessions. Maybe Las Vegas does not cover this spread tonight simply because it is so large, but this should not be a competitive game.
Hence the Under. The Sun do not have enough offense — especially now that Marina Mabrey is out for the near future with a knee concern — to turn a blowout into an Over. Their offensive rating is nearly six points worse per 100 possessions than the No. 12 offense in the WNBA, Chicago’s broken system.
A 90-70 game to threaten this Over would rely on Las Vegas pressing the gas until the end. These Aces can put up those kinds of points, but they have done so lately only when pressed. The Sun simply will not force that issue. Expect a lopsided and therefore lazy affair late.
Sun vs Aces same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 159.5
A'ja Wilson Under 22.5 points
A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 rebounds
A’ja Wilson should not need to play more than 30 minutes tonight, if even that many. Again, Connecticut is that bad.
Wilson has already fallen short of 23 points in six of 10 games this season, not to mention grabbing single-digit rebounds in four of her last five games.
Sun vs Aces odds
Sun vs Aces live odds
Sun vs Aces opening odds
- Spread: Connecticut +17.5 | Las Vegas -17.5
- Moneyline: Connecticut +1,300 | Las Vegas -2,400
- Over/Under: Over 159.5 | Under 159.5
Sun vs Aces trend
Connecticut has lost its last six games, though it has gone 3-3 against the spread in those. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sun vs. Aces.
How to watch Sun vs Aces
| Location | Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| Date | Wednesday, 6-25-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Boston, Vegas 34 |
Sun vs Aces latest injuries
Sun: Marina Mabrey (Out)
Aces: Megan Gustafson (Out), Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Out)
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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