Free WNBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game July 11, 2026
NY
@
MIN
Sat, Jul 11 • 1:00 PM ET
Sabrina Ionescu o4.5 Total Assists (-112)
Breanna Stewart is on a scoring binge, averaging 30 points over the last three games, including a season-best 36-point outing last week against Minnesota.
PHO
@
LV
Sat, Jul 11 • 6:00 PM ET
A’ja Wilson ranks third in the W with 10 double-doubles. She’s averaged 10.3 boards per game at home compared to 8.8 on the road, and she’s double-doubled in four of eight home games. Wilson’s rebounds line is 9.5 for -135 odds, but betting a double-double yields -110 odds, making it the preferred wager.
Both teams rank in the Bottom 6 in pace, and scoring opportunities could be limited. Las Vegas is 5-5 at home, while Phoenix is 3-9 to the Under on the road - highest Under percentage in the league. Play down to 170.5.
NaLyssa Smith o11.5 Points Scored (-105)
No team has surrendered more points to opposing forwards than the Phoenix Mercury this season. They’ve given up a whopping 63.8 ppg to the position, more than 15 points more than the Los Angeles Sparks, who rank second in that category.
Smith ranks eighth among forwards in paint scoring at nine points per game, and Phoenix has given up the most PITP to forwards (25.7). The Mercury rank 12th in Defensive Rating at 107.8.
Smith has scored 12+ in 11 of 22 games, including her last tilt with Phoenix. I’ll bet this one up to 13.5.
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