Just as the Sky were putting together a notable win streak, they fell in Washington on Wednesday.
Chicago responded with an important conference win at Connecticut on Friday, but to wrap up this Eastern road trip with a winning record, the Sky will now need to hold serve at New York.
On the surface, that should not be too difficult, favored against one of the lesser teams in the WNBA.
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for the Sky at the Liberty on June 12.
Sky vs Liberty odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Sky vs Liberty predictions
Predictions made on 6/12/2022 at 3:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Sky vs Liberty info
• Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
• Date: Sunday, June 12, 2022
• Tip-off: 2:00 p.m. ET
• TV: Prime Video
Sky vs Liberty betting preview
Key injuries
Sky: No injuries to report.
Liberty: Rebecca Allen G (Questionable), Didi Richards G (Out), Jocelyn Willoughby F (Out), Betnijah Laney G (Out), Nyara Sabally (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Sky are 4-0 against the spread in their four games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sky vs. Liberty.
Sky vs Liberty picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
No matter how good Sabrina Ionescu is, no one who has watched the WNBA in recent years will dispute that she alone cannot keep the Liberty on the Sky’s level.
Ionescu may be averaging 16.8 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 5.1 assists while not missing a game this season, but that has been only good enough to spur New York to a 5-8 record.
Meanwhile, Chicago looks to be getting closer and closer to its Finals form of a year ago. The Sky are now averaging 81.8 points per game, including at least 82 in each of its last three. Three different players have led Chicago in scoring in those three games, highlighted by Emma Meesseman’s 26 points on Friday.
Five members of the Sky average double digits while appearing in the majority of its games. Just three Liberty players can claim the same. Spreading that workload as such buoys Chicago, always trusting at least one player will come through with a stellar showing.
That depth alone is reason to back the Sky today and to get this far into that confidence without mentioning the pending matchup problem that will be Candace Parker only serves to underscore this pick. Parker averages 8.3 rebounds per game, a number she should cruise past against New York’s relatively undersized lineup.
Prediction: Sky -7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Over/Under analysis
Betting this Over relies too much on the Liberty. More exactly, it relies too much on the Liberty when not playing the worst teams in the league.
Currently, New York stands No. 9 in the WNBA standings. It has played six games against teams worse in terms of win-loss concerns. In those contests, the Liberty averages 85.5 points. In its other seven games, that number plummets to 67.6 points, including a 50-point failure against Chicago in the season’s first week.
To propel this game past its total of 160.5, the Sky may need to score 95 itself, a number it has reached just once. New York cannot be counted on to put the ball in the basket against quality competition these days.
Prediction: Under 160.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Best bet
The Liberty have covered as single-digit underdogs just twice in six tries this season, and one of those came in an eight-point loss as an 8.5-point underdog. The real kicker in that scenario? The loss came in overtime; New York tried to give away the ATS win.
The other such ATS victory came in the season opener.
Beating up on the Indiana Fever and the Minnesota Lynx — three of the Liberty’s five outright wins — has camouflaged how terrible New York is.
Chicago will have no difficulty seeing past that camouflage. It certainly did not when it routed the Liberty 83-50 a month ago. Since then, the Sky has gotten only better.
Pick: Sky -7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
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