Only two days remain between the WNBA and the All-Star Break. While Wednesday’s slate will feature five games and an all-day schedule, tonight’s action is far more narrow.
But these WNBA picks still see value in both the Fever vs. Sun and the Mystics vs. Sparks matchups.
WNBA player prop bets for July 15
Caitlin Clark Over 17.5 points (+110)
Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 3-pointers (+160)
Shakira Austin Over 14.5 points (+100)
Today's best WNBA player props bets
Caitlin Clark Over 17.5 points (+110 at Caesars)
Caitlin Clark Overs are always a popular play, often creating betting value in the Unders. These are simply the realities of the most popular, though also polarizing, player in the WNBA.
Since Clark returned from a groin strain, the Under has been a smarter play than ever. She has averaged 12 points in her three games back, topping out at 14 points on Sunday. Even more notable, she has not played more than 26 minutes in any of those three games.
Managing Clark’s workload makes sense. A quad injury precipitated her groin strain, and the Indiana Fever need Clark to find health if they want to mount a postseason run.
Then why bet on Clark’s Over now? Because the Connecticut Sun have the worst defense in the WNBA by more than two buckets per 100 possessions. Connecticut’s defense should be the punch line of any joke you want to crack. And you will still probably be giving it too much credit.
This is the kind of defense that Clark should gash early and often as she searches for her rhythm before a higher-profile matchup tomorrow against the New York Liberty.
Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 3-pointers (+160 at bet365)
No one forces a worse three-point percentage from opponents than the Washington Mystics’ 29.8%. Complementing that from an efficiency perspective, opponents take 25.4 shots from deep per game against Washington, the fifth-highest rate in the WNBA.
The Mystics force bad shots from beyond the arc.
But the next two teams in 3-point percentage defense are the Fever (30.0%) and the Lynx (30.1%). They both better limit any looks from deep, foes taking 22.6 threes per game against Indiana and 23.1 against Minnesota.
And in the last two-plus weeks, Kelsey Plum went 10-of-19 from deep in a combined three games against the Fever (twice) and the Lynx, clearing this prop in each game.
The +160 payout here is far more steep than it should be. Plum assures that.
Shakira Austin Over 14.5 points (+100 at Caesars)
Shakira Austin was so injured in 2024 that her 2025 began on a strict minutes restriction. As that finally loosened up, she began scoring in bunches. Since June 20 saw Austin’s limits spike into a full-time role, she has cleared this prop in six of nine games.
Two of those exceptions came in games with reduced minutes in June. In the first, the Lynx blew out the Mystics. The second came on Sunday, a close win at Seattle. A three-point Washington halftime lead became an eight-point deficit after the third quarter, the Storm winning that frame 27-16. Perhaps related: Austin played only three minutes in the third, the reason she played just 23 minutes in the game.
Washington plays better with Austin on the floor. More evidence continues to make that more clear.
Tonight should not be a blowout, the Sparks short home favorites. Sunday’s third quarter should provide enough of a lesson that Austin will play at least 27 minutes, and in the last six games she did that, she cleared this prop in five of them.
Today’s WNBA games
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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