Mystics vs Sparks Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Farmer's best bet: With little talent disparity separating each team, back Los Angeles at home.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jul 15, 2025 • 16:07 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest WNBA Picks
Kelsey Plum Los Angeles Sparks WNBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Sparks guard Kelsey Plum (10).

Although the Washington Mystics are riding a stellar rookie class into playoff position, they're not much better than the Los Angeles Sparks, even if Los Angeles is mired in 11th place in the standings.

My Mystics vs. Sparks predictions will trust the home team with a travel edge heading into tonight. 

Read more in my WNBA picks for Tuesday, July 15.

Mystics vs Sparks predictions

My Mystics vs Sparks best bet: Sparks moneyline (-106 at FanDuel)

Are the Washington Mystics good? Their net rating sits at -1.9, not exactly inspiring.

They are led by a combination of underappreciated veterans — Brittney Sykes has a reasonable All-Star snub case — and impressive rookies. Both Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron are All-Stars, be it because of their on-court play or their off-court popularity.

Going 5-1 outright against the true dredges of the WNBA (the Sun, Wings, and Sky) is not why Washington is in playoff position, but it has certainly helped to have that influx of pseudo-exhibitions in the first half of the season.

Are the Los Angeles Sparks bad? Their net rating of -5.9 sits No. 11 in the WNBA, just as they do in the standings. It cannot be said that Los Angeles is good.

However, a homecourt game with a travel edge — Washington had to fly down after a game in Seattle on Sunday — evens some of these thoughts.

When recognizing the Mystics’ flaws and circumstances, this pick’em makes sense. The gap is not as wide as some may think, even without those circumstances.

There is value in Los Angeles at home tonight.

Mystics vs Sparks same-game parlay (SGP)

Sparks moneyline

Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 threes

Shakira Austin Over 14.5 points

One of Washington’s genuine redeeming qualities is forcing opponents to a 29.8% shooting percentage from deep.

Kelsey Plum and the Sparks have faced the next two such defenses in recent weeks, and Plum went 10-of-19 in three total games against the Fever (30.0%) and the Lynx (30.1%). She finds her looks no matter who she plays, and she hits enough 3-pointers to keep Los Angeles competitive.

The Mystics’ best approach may be to lean on Shakira Austin. When she is given a full workload, she scores, clearing this prop in five of the last six games in which she played at least 27 minutes.

Mystics vs Sparks odds

Mystics vs Sparks live odds

Mystics vs Sparks opening odds

  • Spread: Washington -1.5 (-110) | Los Angeles +1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Washington -125 | Los Angeles -105
  • Over/Under: Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110)

Mystics vs Sparks trend

Washington may be on a three-game winning streak, but it is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 4.8 points in those five games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mystics vs. Sparks.

How to watch Mystics vs Sparks

Location Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date Tuesday, 7-15-2025
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV MNMT, SPECSN

Mystics vs Sparks latest injuries

Mystics: Georgia Amoore G (Out).
Sparks: Lexie Brown G (Out), Aari McDonald G (Out), Cameron Brink F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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