The WNBA week kicks off with a heated Western Conference showdown as the Phoenix Mercury travel to San Francisco to face the Golden State Valkyries, who are 2.5-point favorites at home.
With both squads jockeying for playoff positioning, the line suggests confidence in Golden State’s home-court edge, but my Mercury vs. Valkyries predictions are skeptical in their ability to claim victory.
Dive into my WNBA picks to discover where the smart money’s headed on Monday, July 14.
Mercury vs Valkyries predictions
My Mercury vs Valkyries best bet: Mercury moneyline (+116 at FanDuel)
Few teams have been hotter lately than the Phoenix Mercury, who have won eight of their last 10 games, including a convincing eight-point win over the league-leading Lynx in their last outing.
Phoenix is poised to keep rolling tonight against the expansion Golden State Valkyries, whom they throttled 86-77 during their first meeting on June 5. The Mercury controlled nearly every facet of the game, especially in the fourth quarter, when they slammed the door shut with a lopsided 18-1 run.
Phoenix’s Top 3 defense is predicated on precisely that ability to play suffocating, lockdown D when it matters most.
It’s worth noting Phoenix faced the Valkyries without forward Alyssa Thomas, who was sidelined with a left calf injury. The 6-foot-2 forward is back and is coming off a career-high 29-point performance.
She’s a special talent who can score, facilitate, and pound the boards and should have the greenest of lights against a Golden State squad with suspect frontcourt depth.
Don’t be doubting Thomas, or the Mercury tonight as they look to extend their winning streak to three games.
Mercury vs Valkyries same-game parlay (SGP)
Mercury moneyline
Alyssa Thomas Over 15.5 points
Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 rebounds
I expect the Mercury to win, and Thomas will have to continue picking up the slack while her two co-stars in Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper are out of commission.
She’s nearly averaged a triple-double since Sabally got hurt and stuffs the stat sheet when she needs to.
Mercury vs Valkyries odds
Mercury vs Valkyries live odds
Mercury vs Valkyries opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +1.5 (-110) | Golden State -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoenix +108 | Golden State -130
- Over/Under: Over 158.5 (-108) | Under 158.5 (-112)
Mercury vs Valkyries trend
The Over is 6-2 in the last eight games involving the Mercury. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Valkyries.
How to watch Mercury vs Valkyries
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, 7-14-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KPHE, KPYX |
Mercury vs Valkyries latest injuries
Mercury: Lexi Held (Out), Satou Sabally (Out), Kahleah Copper (Out).
Valkyries: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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