The WNBA Rookie of the Year odds have shifted dramatically over the last few weeks, and Olivia Miles continues to separate herself from the field.
After opening as the second choice, Miles has shortened again from -182 to -250 following a strong start with the Minnesota Lynx, solidifying her position as the clear frontrunner in the race.
The biggest challenger right now is Azzi Fudd, whose recent surge has seen her odds improve from +900 to +600. Flau'jae Johnson remains firmly in the conversation at +750, but with Miles continuing to gain ground in the market, the gap between first and the rest of the field is growing.
Let's break down the latest WNBA Rookie of the Year odds, the biggest movers, and whether anyone can still catch Miles before season's end.
WNBA Rookie of the Year Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| -250 | |
| +600 | |
| +750 | |
| +1000 | |
| +2500 | |
| +4000 | |
| +4000 | |
| +5000 | |
| +5000 |
Odds updated as of 6-2, courtesy of bet365, one of our best betting sites. Sign up with our bet365 promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

WNBA Rookie of the Year favorite
Olivia Miles (Guard) — No. 2 overall pick
Olivia Miles has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the WNBA Rookie of the Year race, and the betting market continues to reflect it.
The Minnesota Lynx guard has seen her odds shorten from -182 to -250 after a stellar start to her rookie campaign. Through nine games, Miles is averaging 15.8 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.0 rebounds while shooting nearly 50% from the floor.
Just as importantly, she's doing it for a Lynx team that sits at 7-2 without their best player, Napheesa Collier.
Miles is averaging 30.7 minutes per game and has quickly become one of the focal points of Minnesota's offense. Her combination of scoring, playmaking, and all-around production has translated seamlessly to the professional level, making her one of the most impactful rookies in the league.
At -250, much of the value has disappeared, but it's difficult to argue with the direction of the market. Right now, Miles isn't just leading the Rookie of the Year race — she's creating meaningful separation from the rest of the field.
Azzi Fudd (Guard) — No. 1 overall pick
Azzi Fudd is quickly becoming Olivia Miles' biggest challenger in the WNBA Rookie of the Year race.
After a slow start to her professional career, the No. 1 overall pick is beginning to find her footing in Dallas. Fudd has scored 9, 22, and 24 points over her last three games while shooting better than 50% from the floor.
The nine-point outing isn't nearly as concerning as it looks on paper, either. Fudd played just 23 minutes in a comfortable Dallas victory, giving the Wings little reason to extend her workload.
Perhaps the most encouraging development is her role.
Fudd has started each of Dallas' last two games and appears to be cementing herself as a fixture in the starting lineup moving forward. As her minutes and confidence continue to grow, so should her production.
Miles remains the clear favorite, but Fudd is finally starting to look like the player many expected to contend for Rookie of the Year from the moment she entered the league.
Flau'jae Johnson (Guard) — No. 3 overall pick
Flau'jae Johnson remains firmly in the WNBA Rookie of the Year conversation, but her path to the award has become more difficult over the last few weeks.
After a strong start to the season, Johnson has struggled to find consistency offensively. Her scoring outputs have bounced between 16- and 17-point performances and single-digit outings, making it difficult to build momentum in a race where Olivia Miles continues to strengthen her grip on the top spot.
The bigger problem may be the situation around her.
Seattle has struggled to generate consistent offense and hasn't provided Johnson with much support, which has put even more pressure on the rookie to create scoring opportunities.
Johnson has the talent to make this a competitive race, but she'll need to find more consistency and help lead Seattle up the standings if she's going to close the gap on the favorites.
WNBA Rookie of the Year best bets
| Player | Odds | Stake | Date | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +700 | 0.5u | May 4 | Interior presence on both ends, with a high shooting percentage. |
Lauren Betts at +700 is a bet on early production.
Lauren Betts is strong on both ends inside and shoots a high percentage. She should have a role and steady minutes right away on a young Mystics team that could get off to a fast start.
The risk is simple — if the minutes aren’t there early, she falls behind guards in a stats-driven race.
How to bet WNBA Rookie of the Year
Rookie of the Year isn’t complicated — but most bettors still get it wrong.
This award is driven by opportunity, not long-term upside. The players who win are the ones producing from Day 1, not the ones with the highest ceiling.
Here’s what actually matters:
| Factor | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Minutes | No minutes, no production |
| Usage | More touches = more stats |
| Ball-handling | Controls the offense and pace |
| Team context | Better teams = more visibility |
| Early momentum | Voters form opinions quickly |
Past Rookie of the Year winners
| Year | Player | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Paige Bueckers | |
| 2024 | Caitlin Clark | |
| 2023 | Aliyah Boston | |
| 2022 | Rhyne Howard | |
| 2021 | Michaela Onyenwere | |
| 2020 | Crystal Dangerfield | |
| 2019 | Napheesa Collier | |
| 2018 | A'ja Wilson | |
| 2017 | Allisha Gray | |
| 2016 | Breanna Stewart | |
| 2015 | Jewell Loyd | |
| 2014 | Chiney Ogwumike | |
| 2013 | Elena Delle Donne | |
| 2012 | Nneka Ogwumike | |
| 2011 | Maya Moore | |
| 2010 | Tina Charles |
Recent Rookie of the Year winners highlight a clear trend: players with immediate roles and high usage tend to win this award.
Guards and primary ball-handlers have had the most consistent success, largely because they control the offense and rack up counting stats early in the season.
That puts a premium on opportunity over potential — and makes early-season minutes one of the most important factors when evaluating this market.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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WNBA Rookie of the Year FAQ
Olivia Miles sits at the top of the odds board at -182.
Opportunity. Minutes, usage, and role drive this award more than raw talent. Players who handle the ball and produce immediately have a major edge over those still earning playing time.
It’s possible, but unlikely. Rookie of the Year is heavily influenced by early momentum. Players coming off the bench or playing limited minutes early in the season often fall behind quickly in the race.






