Of course, the WNBA schedulers still could not stay out of their own way, forcing the Connecticut Sun to play a back-to-back.
Connecticut was always going to be at a disadvantage tonight. The Phoenix Mercury are far and away better, hence being 14.5-point favorites.
My Mercury vs. Sun predictions will skip that spread and instead focus on Phoenix’s best player.
Find out more in my WNBA picks for Wednesday, June 18.
Mercury vs Sun predictions
My Mercury vs Sun best bet: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 assists (-136 at FanDuel)
Alyssa Thomas missed two weeks due to a calf concern, returning only last Wednesday. In her two games back, she has handed out 10 and then 13 assists. To further help our case, let’s quickly point out her last game before that injury featured 15 assists.
This is who Thomas is. It is why the Phoenix Mercury added her to a roster already ripe with scorers. Facilitating them should make opponents’ lives miserable.
When Thomas returned with 10 assists, she did it in only 23 minutes, partly because she had been sidelined for two weeks, and also because that was a blowout of the Wings. On Sunday, she played 29 minutes.
Logic expects Thomas to crack 30 minutes tonight, even if the Mercury blow out the Connecticut Sun.
And they should. Connecticut lost last night in Indiana — a game marked by headlines of frustration and chippy play late in a blowout.
Not only are the Sun playing on the second night of a back-to-back, but they also had to travel home overnight. On top of that, following the altercation between Marina Mabrey and Caitlin Clark, they've had to deal with nonstop noise and distractions ever since.
They will largely ignore that, but perhaps not entirely. Some added fatigue would be only natural.
Connecticut already has the worst defensive rating in the WNBA — 4.5 points per 100 possessions. Added fatigue should only exacerbate that weakness, and no one is happier to exploit those lapses than Alyssa Thomas.
Mercury vs Sun same-game parlay (SGP)
Alyssa Thomas 10+ assists
Satou Sabally 15+ points
Mercury -14.5
Asking for one more assist from Thomas yields a payout bump of 50 cents. Frankly, that may be a better bet than the best bet above.
Satou Sabally is one of those pure scorers that Thomas was brought in to set up. Sabally has scored at least 15 points in 11 of 12 games this season.
Trusting the Mercury to cover this massive spread is partly a bet against the Sun. Only last night’s nonsense kept them within that +17.5 spread at Indiana, and Connecticut is 4-7 against the spread for a reason.
Mercury vs Sun odds
Mercury vs Sun live odds
Mercury vs Sun opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix -13.5 (-110) | Connecticut +13.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoenix -1200 | Connecticut +500
- Over/Under: Over 155.5 (-110) | Under 155.5 (-110)
Mercury vs Sun trend
Connecticut has gone 3-5 ATS in its last eight games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Sun.
How to watch Mercury vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Wednesday, 6-18-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Connecticut, Arizona's Family Sports |
Mercury vs Sun latest injuries
Mercury: Sami Whitcomb G (Questionable), Megan McConnell G (Out).
Sun: Leila Lacan G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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