Do not overstate the New York Liberty’s demise. They are a stellar 10-2, and should remain among the top four in the WNBA standings at the absolute worst, even without Jonquel Jones.
But losing Jones for more than a month will make life much more difficult, beginning tonight against the Seattle Storm.
Jones’ impact will be more noticeable defensively, and thus my Liberty vs. Storm predictions and WNBA picks like the Over ahead of this 7 p.m. ET tip on Sunday, June 22.
Liberty vs Storm predictions
My Liberty vs Storm best bet: Over 163.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Jonquel Jones has long been one of the WNBA’s best rebounders. As a result, the New York Liberty have not sought other strong rebounders.
Instead, perimeter players like Natasha Cloud, Leonie Fiebich, and Marine Johannes help set up their big three of Jones, Breanna Stewart, and Sabrina Ionescu.
Ruh roh. Jones will miss the foreseeable future after spraining her right ankle for a second time this season, and New York’s defense will show weakness as a result.
Jones collects 33.8% of available defensive rebounds when she is on the court. The next highest number from the Liberty rotation is Stewart at 15.5%, followed by Fiebich and Cloud at 12.5% and 12.1%, respectively.
Every defensive rebound that Jones would usually collect that instead turns into a Seattle Storm offensive board tonight will effectively be a blown defensive stop. While that is not a Storm strength, ranking No. 11 in the WNBA in offensive rebound rate, realize defensive rebounding was already a New York weakness, ranking No. 12 even with Jones available.
The Liberty should still score tonight, but at this point, they will need to, because their defense is worse without Jones.
Liberty vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 163,5
Neneka Ogwumike Over 15.5 points
Sabrina Ionescu 4+ threes
Looking at Seattle’s rotation, Nneka Ogwumike is best positioned to take advantage of a few offensive rebound opportunities in Jones’ absence. She grabs 6.9% of available offensive rebounds when on the floor, No. 2 in the Storm rotation behind only Ezi Magbegor, who is not included on the points prop odds board.
Turn one or two of those added chances into putbacks, and Ogwumike clears this prop with ease.
Adding a long-range outburst from Ionescu makes sense on two fronts. First of all, the former Oregon Duck should enjoy putting on a show back in the Pacific Northwest.
Secondly, she has hit at least four 3-pointers in five of her last eight games, not surprising given she has taken 9.5 shots from deep per game in that stretch. As long as Ionescu is shooting that often, taking aggressive plays on her 3-pointers is logical.
Liberty vs Storm odds
Liberty vs Storm live odds
Liberty vs Storm opening odds
- Spread: New York -4 (-110) | Seattle +4 (-110)
- Moneyline: New York -180 | Seattle +150
- Over/Under: Over 164.5 (-110) | Under 164.5 (-110)
Liberty vs Storm trend
New York’s last three games have all gone Over their totals and by an average of 10.8 points. Find more WNBA betting trends for Liberty vs. Storm.
How to watch Liberty vs Storm
| Location | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Sunday, 6-22-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Liberty vs Storm latest injuries
Liberty: Jonquel Jones C (Out)
Storm: Katie Lou Samuelson F (Out)
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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