The Seattle Storm had a busy offseason searching for complementary pieces to surround 2023 WNBA leading scorer Jewell Loyd, but it hasn't fully worked out. However, things can quickly change with the Atlanta Dream in town.
The Over on Loyd's scoring prop is calling out in my Dream vs. Storm predictions thanks to a soft matchup at home.
Read on for my WNBA picks for Wednesday, August 28.
Dream vs Storm predictions
My best bet
Jewell Loyd Over 19.5 points (-118 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Seattle Storm's offseason moves were not only designed to help Jewell Loyd but to also help compete for a WNBA title. Things haven’t gone well since the Olympic break.
The 30-year-old Notre Dame product’s scoring numbers have taken a hit. She’s gone from nearly 25 points per bout (2023) to barely averaging 20 and has only scored 25 or more in only nine of her last 38 games.
Tonight’s matchup with the Atlanta Dream could offer a return to Loyd’s big-scoring ways. The Dream do a decent job of slowing down big-scoring guards, but they will have trouble keeping Loyd off the scoreboard if guard Allisha Gray doesn’t get her minutes.
Gray left Monday night’s matchup against the Indiana Fever with face and lower back injuries. Her status for tonight’s tilt is up in the air, but Gray is an above-average defender, and without her, Atlanta's backcourt stop unit will take a hit.
Seattle needs a win, and Loyd is its leading scorer. The Dream’s backcourt has allowed a 10th-best 32.6 field-goal attempts from inside the arc and 9.2 from downtown, which amounts to 36.2 backcourt points allowed per clash. That should open the door wide open for Loyd to make things happen.
Dream vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)
Jewell Loyd Over 19.5 points
Skylar Diggins-Smith 6+ assists
Allisha Gray Under 15.5 points
Seattle brought in Skylar Diggins-Smith this offseason to be the team's primary playmaker, and she’s been that and more. Diggins-Smith leads the team in dimes (6.3), but the Storm have shot miserably since the break.
I look for that to change tonight. Seattle has too many legit scorers in shooting slumps but has a nice matchup against a Dream defense that has surrendered 42% from the field and 34% from downtown since the break.
Gray is listed as questionable tonight with a back injury, and she might not get the minutes if she dresses. If she does, she will likely be less than 100% against a Storm stop unit ranked third against opposing guards.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dream vs Storm odds
Dream vs Storm live odds
Get the latest Dream vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.
Dream vs Storm opening odds
- Spread: Atlanta +7.5 (-105) | Seattle -7.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Atlanta +280 | Seattle -360
- Over/Under: Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110)
Dream vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis
- Atlanta is 3-0-1 ATS since the break, but Gray's uncertainty has caused the line to spike to +8.5 from a +7.5 opener.
- Seattle is 0-6-0 ATS across its past six and 4-6-0 ATS in its last 10 against Atlanta.
- Over/Under markets have seen a dip from the 158 (-110) openers. Over 155 (-110) is available while Under bettors will pay the juice on Under 156 (-115).
Dream vs Storm trend
The Under is 6-1 in Storm's last seven games playing on one day’s rest. Find more WNBA betting trends for Dream vs Storm.
Dream vs Storm game info
| Location: | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 8-28-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX 13+, Amazon Prime Video-Seattle |
Dream vs Storm latest injuries
Dream: Aerial Powers G (Out).
Storm: Mackenzie Holmes F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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