The Minnesota Lynx are a win away from hosting the Commissioner’s Cup title game in a week.
Only the Las Vegas Aces stand in their way. But these are not the Aces of lore, especially without A’Ja Wilson.
My Aces vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks have no faith in Las Vegas tonight, but a hefty spread focuses this bet to the first half on Tuesday, June 17.
Aces vs Lynx predictions
My Aces vs Lynx best bet: Lynx 1H -7.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
The Minnesota Lynx losing at Seattle last Wednesday added a touch of drama to the Western Conference in the Commissioner’s Cup, but they then blew out the Sparks by 23 points on Saturday. Minnesota would have to lose tonight while Seattle beats Los Angeles (likely, given the Storm are favored by 8.5 points) to fall short of the Commissioner’s Cup title game.
The Lynx are livid this season.
When fans gripe about the Liberty’s title last season thanks to Breanna Stewart’s clear travel in the final seconds, that is pointless and nothing but noise. But do not for a second think Minnesota isn't still stewing over that, particularly given a certain commissioner was wearing a New York City-patterned dress at that game. The Lynx are deadset on making a statement.
They likely will not get a rematch against the Liberty in the Commissioner’s Cup title game, but from a drama perspective, facing Caitlin Clark in Target Center is hard to beat, and that is the most likely scenario.
All of that is to say, trust the Lynx tonight. Trust Minnesota to come out strong and focused. Too much is at stake for a proud roster.
A 13.5-point spread could risk a backdoor cover. Even the diminished Las Vegas Aces still enjoy Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young, after all.
But a focused Lynx defense should shut them down in the first half and reach the break leading by double digits, easily clearing this -7.5 spread.
Aces vs Lynx same-game parlay (SGP)
Lynx 1H -7.5
Kayla McBride Over 15.5 points
Courtney Williams 12+ points
The risk betting any Lynx player props is that Napheesa Collier might take up all the available stats. She scored 32 points on 16 shots on Saturday, adding eight rebounds and six assists.
But some of that surge came because Kayla McBride had her first bad game of the season. Through six games, McBride had hit 52.3% of her 3-pointers while taking 10.8 per game. Then she went 0-for-7 on Saturday, scoring just four points.
Do not expect a repeat lackluster showing from McBride.
Similar thoughts tie to Courtney Williams. Sure, she scored 17 points on Saturday, but if she had played better last Wednesday, Minnesota would already have clinched the Western half of the Cup. Williams finished that game on the bench after scoring just three points and taking only one shot in nearly 20 minutes of action.
A 10-year veteran, the requisite pride and vengeance can be trusted to come from Williams.
Aces vs Lynx odds
Aces vs Lynx live odds
Aces vs Lynx opening odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +8 (-110) | Minnesota -8 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +280 | Minnesota -360
- Over/Under: Over 164 (-110) | Under 164 (-110)
Aces vs Lynx trend
The Aces are 0-4 ATS in their last four games, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 14.9 points. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Lynx.
How to watch Aces vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-17-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FanDuel Sports Network - North, Vegas 34 |
Aces vs Lynx latest injuries
Aces: A’ja Wilson (Out), Megan Gustafson (Out), Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Out)
Lynx: Jessica Shepard (Out)
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
