UFC 264 Betting Odds: McGregor vs Poirier 3 Headlines July 10

Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier will meet July 10 at UFC 264, the third fight between these two, who split the first two bouts. Poirier, currently favored in the trilogy fight, defeated McGregor in the second round when they met in January.

Patrick Everson
Posted: Jul 9, 2021 8:40 AM ET Updated: Jul 10, 2021 9:30 PM ET

UFC 264 odds are on the board and drawing plenty of action for a packed card on July 10, headlined by the highly anticipated third bout between Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier. 

After Poirier pulled off the upset win as a +265 underdog against McGregor in January, UFC betting odds were initially set as a pick 'em for the trilogy.

Here are the UFC odds for every fight at UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 on July 10, from T-Mobile Arena on the Las Vegas Strip. 

UFC 264 odds 

Favorite Odds Underdog Odds Weight Class
Dustin Poirier -130 Conor McGregor +110 Lightweight
Stephen Thompson -155 Gilbert Burns +135 Welterweight
Tai Tuivasa -125 Greg Hardy +105 Heavyweight
Yana Kunitskaya -115 Irene Aldana -105 Women's Bantamweight
Sean O'Malley -1,000 Kris Moutinho +650 Bantamweight
Max Griffin -180 Carlos Condit +160 Welterweight
Michel Pereira -180 Niko Price +160 Welterweight
Dricus Du Plessis -120 Trevin Giles Even Middleweight
Ilia Topuria -220 Ryan Hall +190 Featherweight
Brad Tavares -145 Omari Akhmedov +125 Middleweight
Jennifer Maia -200 Jessica Eye +175 Women's Flyweight
Zhalgas Zhumagulov -270 Jerome Rivera +230 Flyweight
Alen Amedovski CANCELED Hu Yaozong CANCELED Middleweight

Odds courtesy William Hill US as of July 10.

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Covers Writer IconUFC 264 sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick Everson

Latest Poirier vs. McGregor betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Thirty minutes before the five-bout main card begins, BetMGM Nevada has the main event at Dustin Poirier -130/Conor McGregor +110, after opening at -110 pick 'em back in April. "Tickets just over 2/1 on McGregor, no surprise, and money 2/1 on McGregor," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. Interestingly, the larger bets so far are on Poirier, including a $130,000 play and two $65,000 bets, all at -130. But there's a $50,000 wager and four $25,000 wagers on McGregor, and a mass of four-figure bets. "McGregor is getting a ton of $5,000 bets, one after another after another," Shelton said. "We need the favorite, and it's gonna be a huge decision." 

Latest Burns vs. Thompson betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The largest reported bet on this card so far landed on the Gilbert Burns-Steven Thompson bout, with the favorite Thompson drawing a $155,000 wager at -155, to win $100,000, at BetMGM Nevada. But the book is OK to this fight, even with the high-dollar play on Thompson. "That fight looks really good. Hundreds and hundreds of tickets, but just a few more on Burns, and the money is really close. We're a two-way winner right now," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said.

Latest Tuivasa vs. Hardy betting action

UPDATE 5:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tai Tuivasa is down to a -125 favorite at PointsBet USA, after opening -150, and Hardy correspondingly moved from a +120 underdog to even money. Ticket count is almost dead even, but Tuivasa is still seeing a solid majority of money, running counter to the price drop.

Other UFC 264 betting action

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Sean O'Malley is a hefty -850 favorite at BetMGM Nevada, fully expected to easily handle +575 underdog Kris Moutinho. BetMGM's Scott Shelton said O'Malley is on everybody's parlays, so the book would love an upset to clean up all that liability, but as the odds show, it's pretty unlikely. Also on the main card, the Irene Aldana-Yana Kunitskaya bout jumped the fence, opening Aldana -145/Kunitskaya +120 and now sitting at Kunitskaya -115/Aldana -105. "It's 2/1 tickets on Kunitskaya, and 2/1 money as well," Shelton said.

Where will UFC 264 take place?

UFC 264 will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. According to UFC president Dana White, up to 20,000 fans will be in attendance for the event. 

Who is fighting at UFC 264?

The main event between McGregor and Poirier will be their second meeting this year and third overall, with McGregor winning the first bout back in 2014 and Poirier earning a revenge victory earlier this year. 

A welterweight bout between Gilbert Burns and Stephen Thompson will serve as the co-main event. Other fights on the main card include Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy, Irene Aldana vs. Yana Kunitskaya, and Sean O'Malley vs. Louis Smolka.

Even the early prelims have plenty of talent with No. 13-ranked middleweight Omari Akhmedov facing off against Brad Tavares, and a battle between Top-10 women's flyweights Jennifer Maia and Jessica Eye. 

UFC 264 odds for main event

Conor McGregor vs. Dustin Poirier 3 Odds

As of July 8, two days out from this mega-main event, McGregor is a +110 underdog, a very far cry from the -330 he was installed at when he was knocked out by Poirier in January. Poirier is currently a -130 favorite at BetMGM Nevada.

While McGregor had some success landing strikes on Poirier in that UFC 257 bout, Poirier's chin held up while he battered Notorious with leg kicks. McGregor eventually succumbed to punches in the second round after his mobility was severely compromised. 

Prior to that defeat, McGregor knocked out Donald Cerrone in 40 seconds in January 2020 in his return to the octagon after losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov in a lightweight championship bout in 2018. McGregor is still 22-5 in his career with 19 wins by KO/TKO and is one of the most dangerous strikers — and marketable stars — in the UFC. 

Dustin "Diamond" Poirier is 7-1 in his last eight fights, with his only loss during that span coming in his own title shot against Khabib in 2019.

Where can I bet on UFC?

You can bet on UFC odds at most online and casino sportsbooks, including UFC outrights, method of victory, and other props. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on UFC odds in your area.

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