UFC 258: Gastelum vs Heinisch Picks and Predictions

Feb 9, 2021 |
UFC 258: Gastelum vs Heinisch Picks and Predictions
Kelvin Gastelum will look to snap a three-fight losing streak in a favorable matchup against Ian Heinisch.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Kelvin Gastelum will look to snap a three-fight losing streak in a favorable matchup against Ian Heinisch.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Ian Heinisch is on the main card for UFC 258 betting on Saturday, February 13 at the UFC Apex in Vegas.

This should be a banger between a pair of middleweight fighters looking to climb the rankings, and UFC odds have Gastelum as a -220 favorite while Heinisch comes back at +176. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this fight and give our best picks and predictions for Gastelum vs. Heinisch at UFC 258.

Gastelum vs Heinisch Fight Odds

Method of Victory Kelvin Gastelum Ian Heinisch
Win Outright -220 +176
Win by KO/TKO +500 +650
Win by Points +105 +400
Win by Submission +900 +1,100
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Gastelum vs Heinisch Betting Preview

Kelvin Gastelum comes in as the No. 9 ranked contender in the middleweight division, despite losing three consecutive fights. That said, each of those defeats came against some of the best fighters in the division in Israel Adesanya, Darren Till and Jack Hermansson.

The 29-year-old won the The Ultimate Fighter 17 way back in 2013, but has had mixed success since moving to the 185-pound division in 2016. Gastelum is a solid wrestler but is more well-known for his hand speed and boxing, preferring to slip into the pocket where he can do damage.

Ian "The Hurricane" Heinisch enters as the No. 15 ranked middleweight contender and is fresh off a first-round TKO win against Gerald Meerschaert last June. That victory snapped a two-fight skid for Heinisch who is now 3-2 in his UFC career. 

The 32-year-old is a relative latecomer to the sport of MMA, turning his life around after serving prison sentences in Spain and at Rikers Island. Heinisch has a background in wrestling, twice winning the high school state championship in Colorado, and has shown improved striking due to his Muay Thai training

Gastelum vs Heinisch Tale of the Tape

Kelvin Gastelum   Ian Heinisch
29 Age 32
5-foot-9 Height 5-foot-11
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
71.5 inches Reach 72 inches
16-6-0 (6 KO) Record 14-3-0 (5 KO)

Gastelum vs Heinisch UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Kevin Gastelum by points +105 - Heinisch's Muay Thai looked very sharp in his previous fight, but Meerschaert is a grappling specialist who has never looked comfortable on his feet.

On the other hand, Gastelum stood toe-to-toe with the best striker in the world in Israel Adesanya, earning Fight of the Night honors and landing 182 significant strikes in an impressive losing effort. 

Gastelum is three years younger than Heinisch but has far more experience against UFC foes, and has fought several fighters with a skill set similar to The Hurricane. However, Heinisch has never faced anyone with Gastelum's caliber of stand up.  

Gastelum's boxing technique, power and ability to win inside exchanges should allow him to damage Heinisch. That said, Heinisch is tough as nails and has never been finished by strikes in his career. With three of Gastelum's last four fights going the distance, look for him to take this via points. 


Where Can I Bet on UFC Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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