Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta collide in a de facto elimination bout, with the winner landing on the short list for a title shot later this year when the two heavyweight contenders face off on tonight’s UFC 328 undercard.
Volkov is the favorite at -180 in the UFC odds, while Cortes-Acosta is a +145 underdog.
My Volkov vs. Cortes-Acosta predictions believe the former will secure his long-awaited title shot on Saturday, May 9.
Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta fight prediction: Volkov moneyline (-180)
Waldo Cortes-Acosta has made it back to the cusp of title contention, winning three in a row after a humbling loss to Sergei Pavlovich. But Alexander Volkov’s jab, patience, and technical discipline should disrupt Cortes-Acosta’s volume-heavy offense.
Unlike lesser heavyweights, he won’t be easily overwhelmed by activity alone. While Cortes-Acosta enters with momentum, Volkov remains one of the most complete heavyweights in the division and is the pick.

Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta best bet: Volkov to win by decision (+125)
Cortes-Acosta can outwork opponents who can’t slow him down or interrupt his flow, but Pavlovich showed how effective a solid jab is against him. Volkov is an even sharper technician with cleaner counters, better conditioning, and years of experience against elite heavyweight strikers.
As long as Volkov stays composed, he should outpoint Cortes-Acosta over three rounds.
Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta odds
| Method of Victory | Volkov | Cortes-Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | -135 | +110 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +380 | +450 |
| To win by decision | +145 | +215 |
| To win by submission | +2500 | +2400 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -240 |
Under 2.5 +180 |
Odds as of 5-9.
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Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta tale of the tape
| Volkov | Cortes-Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Age | 34 |
| 6-foot-7 | Height | 6-foot-4 |
| Heavyweight | Weight Class | Heavyweight |
| 80 inches | Reach | 78 inches |
| 39-11 | Record | 17-2 |
| 24 | Wins by KO | 9 |
| 4 | Wins by submission | 1 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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