UFC 328 Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Predictions, Picks & Odds

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 9, 2026 , 04:54 PM ET • 4 min read

Howard's prediction: Volkov earns title shot at Cortes-Acosta's expense.

Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta are set to lock horns in a heavyweight bout tonight.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta are set to lock horns in a heavyweight bout tonight.

Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta collide in a de facto elimination bout, with the winner landing on the short list for a title shot later this year when the two heavyweight contenders face off on tonight’s UFC 328 undercard.

Volkov is the favorite at -180 in the UFC odds, while Cortes-Acosta is a +145 underdog.

My Volkov vs. Cortes-Acosta predictions believe the former will secure his long-awaited title shot on Saturday, May 9.

Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta fight prediction: Volkov moneyline (-180)

Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta
May 9 • UFC 328
Fight Prediction
Volkov moneyline (-180)
Bet now at BET99

Waldo Cortes-Acosta has made it back to the cusp of title contention, winning three in a row after a humbling loss to Sergei Pavlovich. But Alexander Volkov’s jab, patience, and technical discipline should disrupt Cortes-Acosta’s volume-heavy offense.

Unlike lesser heavyweights, he won’t be easily overwhelmed by activity alone. While Cortes-Acosta enters with momentum, Volkov remains one of the most complete heavyweights in the division and is the pick.

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Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta best bet: Volkov to win by decision (+125)

Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta
May 9 • UFC 328
Best bet
Volkov to win by decision (+125)
Bet now at BET99

Cortes-Acosta can outwork opponents who can’t slow him down or interrupt his flow, but Pavlovich showed how effective a solid jab is against him. Volkov is an even sharper technician with cleaner counters, better conditioning, and years of experience against elite heavyweight strikers.

As long as Volkov stays composed, he should outpoint Cortes-Acosta over three rounds. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Volkov has Cortes-Acosta beat in overall striking accuracy, 57% to 49%.

Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Volkov Cortes-Acosta
To win outright -135 +110
To win by KO/TKO +380 +450
To win by decision +145 +215
To win by submission +2500 +2400
Total rounds Over 2.5
-240
Under 2.5
+180

Odds as of 5-9.

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Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta tale of the tape

Volkov   Cortes-Acosta
37 Age 34
6-foot-7 Height 6-foot-4
Heavyweight Weight Class Heavyweight
80 inches Reach 78 inches
39-11 Record 17-2
24 Wins by KO 9
4 Wins by submission 1

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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