UFC 328 Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira Predictions, Picks & Odds

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 9, 2026 , 04:55 PM ET • 4 min read

Our UFC expert believes Joshua Van isn't getting enough respect ahead of his potential Fight of the Night vs. Tatsuro Taira.

Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira collide in a flyweight title bout tonight.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira collide in a flyweight title bout tonight.

The co-main event of UFC 328 pits Joshua Van’s strikes versus Tatsuro Taira’s grappling as the young flyweight stars look to steal the show in a fight that is sure to deliver.

Taira is the favorite at -180, while Van is a +145 underdog in tonight's UFC odds.

Van will need to rely on his mean streak and reliable striking power to avoid Taira’s suffocating ground game, and my Van vs. Taira predictions believe the champion is being overlooked ahead of this clash between two primed fighters on Saturday, May 9.

Van vs Taira fight prediction: Van moneyline (+145)

Van vs Taira
May 9 • UFC 328
Fight Prediction
Van moneyline (+145)
Bet now at BET99

As good as Taira is, his chances of winning this fight rely on grounding Van for five whole rounds. If he couldn’t do it to Brandon Royval as a -310 favorite, he won’t do it against the aggressive and physically imposing champion.

Van’s 81% takedown defense, combined with his pace and striking power, creates a dangerous dynamic for Taira every time he shoots. Van will maintain the range, make Taira take chances, and overwhelm him in the process.

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Van vs Taira best bet: Van to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+335)

Van vs Taira
May 9 • UFC 328
Best bet
Van to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+335)
Bet now at BET99

Van won’t have trouble catching Taira with big shots. Taira’s striking defense isn’t very good, and he isn’t as dynamic when his opponents have good footwork and establish range, causing him to force his takedowns and get tagged for his troubles.

Van is heavy-handed and relentless, and one bad takedown attempt from Taira is going to lead to a series of punishing shots that will end in a stoppage.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Taira owns a shaky 47% significant strike defense, while Van lands an elite 8.84 significant strikes per minute.

Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Van Taira
To win outright +140 -170
To win by KO/TKO +320 +750
To win by decision +425 +300
To win by submission +2700 +190
Total rounds Over 3.5
-120
Under 3.5
-110

Odds as of 5-9.

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Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira tale of the tape

Van   Taira
24 Age 26
5-foot-5 Height 5-foot-7
Flyweight Weight Class Flyweight
65 inches Reach 70 inches
16-2 Record 18-1
8 Wins by KO 6
2 Wins by submission 8

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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