UFC 325 comes hot off the heels of an incredible premium event, and the UFC is looking to go big with a competitive card when they head to the land down under.
Alexander Volkanovski rematches Diego Lopes in the main event, and the prelims are loaded with excellent fights.
I size up the UFC odds and deliver my best UFC 325 prelim predictions and free betting picks from Sydney.
UFC 325 prelim picks and predictions
Fight 1
• Prediction: Fan moneyline (-150)
• Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-170)
Fight 2
• Prediction: Elekana moneyline (-260)
• Best Bet: Elekana by decision (+350)
Fight 3
• Prediction: Finney moneyline (+120)
• Best Bet: Finney moneyline (+120)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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UFC 325 prelim odds and picks
Dom Mar Fan vs. Sang Uk Kim fight odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Fan | Kim |
| To win outright | -145 | +115 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +625 | +1000 |
| To win by decision | +450 | +240 |
| To win by submission | +450 | +625 |
| Draw | +5000 | +5000 |
Odds as of 1-31.
The Road to UFC mini-tournament makes up a large portion of the prelims, and this matchup between two promising grapplers stands out as one of the more intriguing bouts. Dom Mar Fan has been a local standout for some time and brings a well-rounded skill set.
He’s tall and long for the lightweight division, moves well on the feet, and uses his footwork to stay evasive while setting up his offense.
Sang Uk Kim is also tall for the division, at an even six feet, and is the more seasoned professional. He’s the cleaner striker of the two and can wrestle when needed, giving him multiple ways to approach the fight.
That said, this matchup projects to be slower-paced and methodical, and those are the kinds of fights where Fan has consistently looked comfortable and effective. Fan’s overall consistency and superior grappling make him the pick, and my best bet is that it goes Over 2.5 rounds.
Prediction: Fan moneyline (-150 at BET99)
Best Bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-170 at BET99)
Junior Tafa vs. Billy Elekana fight odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Tafa | Elekana |
| To win outright | +200 | -260 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +300 | +295 |
| To win by decision | +950 | +350 |
| To win by submission | +4000 | +185 |
| Draw | +5000 | +5000 |
Odds as of 1-31.
Junior Tafa is the more polished striker in this matchup, but his inability to defend takedowns and submissions remains a glaring weakness. Billy Elekana isn’t a high-output striker, but he throws with intent and is far more comfortable transitioning the fight to the ground, where he can dictate terms.
While Tafa may look sharper in pure striking exchanges, this isn’t a kickboxing match, and his defensive wrestling borders on being a liability. Elekana’s measured approach and broader skill set give him the flexibility to pick his spots, mix in takedowns, and avoid unnecessary risks.
As long as Elekana sticks to a disciplined game plan and doesn’t chase a finish, he should be able win by decision
Prediction: Elekana moneyline (-260 at BET99)
Best Bet: Elekana by decision (+350 at BET99)
Jacob Malkoun vs. Torrez Finney fight odds
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||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Malkoun | Finney |
| To win outright | -130 | +105 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +575 | +540 |
| To win by decision | +180 | +235 |
| To win by submission | +640 | +950 |
| Draw | +5000 | +5000 |
Odds as of 1-31.
Jacob Malkoun enters this fight off one of the strangest wins in recent memory, a TKO over Andre Petroski, where Petroski knocked himself unconscious, shooting into Malkoun’s hip. This time around, he faces a much tougher stylistic test in Torrez Finney.
Malkoun is a strong wrestler and a high-volume takedown artist, averaging 6.62 takedowns per fight, but his lack of aggression on the mat is a significant flaw. More concerning is his takedown defense, which sits at a troubling 20 percent. That’s a major red flag against someone like Finney.
Finney isn’t flashy and won’t win style points, but he does exactly one thing very well: he shoots takedowns relentlessly and keeps fights close. He has excellent conditioning, thrives in grind-heavy matchups, and isn’t interested in prolonged striking exchanges, which suits him perfectly here.
With both fighters limited on the feet and Finney likely to be the one initiating and winning the wrestling exchanges, I’m going with the underdog straight up.
Prediction: Finney moneyline (+120 at BET99)
Best Bet: Finney moneyline (+120 at BET99)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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