For the first time in many years, Iga Swiatek isn't the French Open odds favorite heading into Roland Garros.
The four-time French Open champion finds herself looking up at World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, who’s torn through clay season to establish herself as the new favorite in Paris, and now she’ll wear a target on her back as she seeks her first-ever title at Roland Garros — a tournament she’s yet to even make the final.
Let’s break down the women’s draw below and tell you everything you need to know about the contenders and the pretenders.
French Open 2025 women's singles odds
| Player |  |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +260 |
| Iga Swiatek | +350 |
| Coco Gauff | +500 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +500 |
| Jasmine Paolini | +1400 |
| Qinwen Zheng | +2200 |
| Elena Rybakina | +3500 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | +4000 |
| Evina Svitolina | +4000 |
| Madison Keys | +5000 |
Odds as of 5-23.
French Open 2025 women's favorites
Who's hot
Aryna Sabalenka (+260 at DraftKings)
As stunning as it is to see Iga Swiatek move all the way out of the top spot on the odds board, Aryna Sabalenka is a more than deserving favorite this year. She’s dropped just two matches on clay in 13 tries, to Qinwen Zheng and Jelana Ostapenko, and on the way to two finals — and a title at the 1000-level event in Madrid — she took out some of the hottest players on tour from Coco Gauff to Elina Svitolina and Peyton Stearns.
Sabalenka has yet to make the final of the French Open, falling last year in the quarterfinals to upstart Mirra Andreeva and the semis the year before that against Karolina Muchova. Now the World No. 1, she’ll have an easy road until the quarterfinal stage, where Zheng could be waiting.
Coco Gauff (+500 at DraftKings)
This is poised to be Coco Gauff’s best year yet, and there’s no exception on clay where she’s off to an 11-3 start heading into play in Paris. She’s made back-to-back finals in the biggest clay-court events on the calendar aside from Roland Garros, falling to Sabalanka and Jasmine Paolini in each contest.
It’s hard to knock her for falling to the World No. 1, and a top-five clay player in her home tournament, and it’s also hard to discount her run, one which has taken her past Andreeva twice and Swiatek — in a tidy 6-1, 6-1 beatdown.
Jasmine Paolini (+1400 at DraftKings)
Jasmine Paolini’s proven that her 2024 breakout was anything but a fluke, making the final at Wimbledon after reaching her first-ever Grand Slam final at last year’s French Open, and so far this season, she’s racked up enough wins to reach the Top 5.
The Italian captured her first-ever title in Rome just over a week ago, moving past a stacked field before taking out Gauff in two straight sets. She has the ability to find angles and finish rallies with a big forehand winner despite her lack of size, and she continues to go overlooked by oddsmakers each and every week.
Naomi Osaka (+6500 at DraftKings)
There was a time when Naomi Osaka was so bad on clay that she decided to skip this part of the calendar altogether, but those memories are fading. The four-time Grand Slam champion has put together the best year of her career on the dirt, winning a smaller tournament in France before reaching the fourth round in Rome to bring her record to 8-2 on the surface.
We’re going to need to see a little bit more out of Osaka against some stronger competition before labeling her a true sleeper, but she did nearly take out Swiatek at last year’s French Open before falling in a heartbreaking 7-5 final set. She’s capable of beating anyone with her talent, and if the last two years are any indication, her level isn’t nearly as capped on clay as we once thought.
Who's not
Iga Swiatek (+350 at DraftKings)
Even entering Madrid in late April, Swiatek was far and away the world’s best player on clay and was as heavy as a -175 favorite to win Roland Garros at some books.
Well, the tune all changed when she took a first set bagel against Madison Keys in the quarterfinals — a scoreline she managed to survive in a three-set win, but one which looked less like a fluke and more like a warning sign after she fell to Gauff 6-1, 6-1 in the semis.
From there, Swiatek would suffer a straight-sets loss to Danielle Collins in the third round of Rome as a -900 favorite which has left her prospects here in serious doubt.
Still, this is a player who has lost just twice in six trips to the French Open, tallying a 35-2 record in all. She’s been incredibly hard to beat here and even though there’s some doubt surrounding her – there was perennial doubt surrounding Rafael Nadal year over year and he kept on winning.
Qinwen Zheng (+2200 at DraftKings)
Zheng has hardly played this season, and she’s really failed to take the next step forward which many expected. Sure, she toppled Sabalenka for the first time in her career, but that was a mere consolation prize; the Chinese finished the run-up to Roland Garros with a 6-3 record which included an embarrassing loss to Anastasia Potapova and another head-scratcher against Ekaterina Alexandrova.
It’s not like she’s done much at the French Open, either, going just 6-3 in three trips and suffering an upset loss to Elina Avanesyan in the third round here last year.
French Open 2025 women's sleepers
Players to watch
Jelena Ostapenko (+4000 at DraftKings)
Another Grand Slam, another chance for Jelena Ostapenko to shock the world. She won the French Open in 2017, and with her fearlessness against the world’s best in her career she’s been a constant sleeper throughout her career.
Ostapenko has had a pretty solid season, going to the final of Doha back in February and winning the title in Stuttgart despite facing Swiatek in the quarters and Sabalenka in the final. This is her best surface, this is the site of her only Grand Slam, and this is a player who just beat the two favorites to win Roland Garros in the span of three days. I’ll roll the dice with her every time.
Diana Shnaider (+8000 at DraftKings)
The player I’ve donned the Ben Shelton of the WTA Tour hasn’t had the greatest season after shocking everyone with a rise into the world’s top 20 a year ago, but she’s done just about all she can do in the lead-up to Roland Garros. She fell in
Madrid to Swiatek and in Rome to Paolini, taking those matches the full three sets, and her huge game has led her to great heights when she’s playing with confidence. She mowed through every other opponent in her path those weeks, dropping just 14 games in her five wins, and she’s poised to make a run before putting a big scare into a top seed.
Long shots to avoid
Elena Rybakina (+3500 at DraftKings)
It’s sad to say, but Elena Rybakina isn’t the player we once knew. She’s never made it past the quarterfinal stage here, and in her other four trips to Roland Garros she failed to make it to even the fourth round.
Now, she’s playing just months after her coach was suspended by the tour, and she’s trying to quickly establish some form after she was knocked out of Madrid and Rome in just two matches each time. She’s currently pushing for a title in Strasbourg, but it wouldn’t move me enough to take a shot on her here.
