Wimbledon Best Bets, Moneyline Parlay & Day 7 Predictions: Thompson Tumbles!

We're into the business end of Wimbledon 2025, and Taylor Fritz roughing up Jordan Thompson highlights our Day 7 predictions!

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jul 5, 2025 • 15:30 ET • 4 min read
Taylor Fritz Wimbledon
Photo By - Imagn Images. Taylor Fritz of the United States.

In a tournament full of upsets, the first six days of Wimbledon action have been an eventful one.

The Round of 16 is now set to begin, and my Wimbledon predictions are targeting two favorites as well as one match total. 

Let's dive into the latest Wimbledon odds with my free picks for Sunday, July 6. 

Wimbledon best bets for July 6

  • 🎾 Fritz -5.5 games (+100)
  • 🎾 Sierra vs Siegemund o21.5 games (-118)
  • 🎾 Kartal moneyline (-110)
  • 💲+564 odds parlay💲

Wimbledon Day 7 predictions

Taylor Fritz -5.5 games (+100 at DraftKings)

American Taylor Fritz was the hottest player coming into the 2025 Wimbledon, and he’s mowed down opponents thus far.

Fritz leads the Wimbledon field in aces (73), but he’s also among the leaders in break points converted (12). While Jordan Thompson has had a good run, he’s already spent nearly 11 hours on the court, and he’s never been successful against Fritz.

The American is 3-0 in H2H meetings with the Aussie, and all three matches have been one-sided. Fritz has too much in his bag for Thompson and will cover the 5.5-game spread. 

Solana Sierra vs. Laura Siegemund Over 21.5 games (-118 at FanDuel)

The high number of upsets has enabled Solana Sierra and 37-year-old Laura Siegemund to advance to the Round of 16. 

Sierra leads the tourney in break points won (18) and first-serve receiving points won, but has never reached a GS quarter, while Siegmund has one quarterfinal appearance across 11 years on the circuit.

Sunday will be the biggest match of their careers. Nerves will abound, and neither wields the weapons to dominate.

Expect this one to go the distance.

Sonay Kartal moneyline (-110 at FanDuel)

Local favorite Sonay Kartal is the last Brit left in the main draw, and she faces a favorable matchup against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to keep UK tennis fans’ hopes alive.

Kartal has coasted through her last two contests after needing three sets in her opening match victory against Jelena Ostapenko. 

She will pressure a Pavlyuchenkova service game amongst the leaders in double-faults (15), and Kartal has won 44 second-serve returning points this fortnight.

We saw what the crowd did for Emma Raducanu against Aryna Sabalenka, and that will help Kartal get over the line on Sunday.

Sunday's top Wimbledon matches

  • No. 1 seed Carlos Alcaraz vs No. 14 seed Andrey Rublev 
  • No. 10 seed Taylor Fritz vs. Jordan Thompson
  • No. 17 seed Karen Khachanov vs. Kamil Majchrzak

  • No. 1 seed Aryna Sabalenka vs. No. 24 seed Elise Mertens
  • No. 13 seed Amanda Anisimova vs. No. 30 seed Linda Noskova
  • Sonay Kartel vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Sunday’s Wimbledon parlay

Taylor Fritz -5.5

Solana Sierra vs Laura Siegemund Over 21.5 games

Sonay Kartal moneyline

Current Wimbledon favorites

Men Women
Carlos Alcaraz +130 Aryna Sabalenka -110
Jannik Sinner +135 Iga Swiatek +500
Novak Djokovic +450 Mirra Andreeva +750
Taylor Fritz +2200 Amanda Anisimova +1400
Ben Shelton +3000 Emma Navarro +1600

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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