Indianapolis Colts

AFC South (0 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 7 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Warren Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

Tyler Warren
T. Warren
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

Tyler Warren

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

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De'Von Achane Receptions Made Props • Miami

De'Von Achane
D. Achane
running back RB • Miami
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week. In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

De'Von Achane

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week. In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

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Jonathan Taylor Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

Jonathan Taylor
J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 61.8% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 61.8% of his offense's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

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Josh Downs Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

Josh Downs
J. Downs
wide receiver WR • Indianapolis
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. The model projects Josh Downs to notch 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers. Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 25.8% last year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With a fantastic 5.1 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) last year, Josh Downs ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league. Last year, the anemic Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

Josh Downs

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per play. The model projects Josh Downs to notch 7.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers. Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 25.8% last year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With a fantastic 5.1 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) last year, Josh Downs ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the league. Last year, the anemic Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

All Matchup props

Tyreek Hill Receptions Made Props • Miami

Tyreek Hill
T. Hill
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average). The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers. Tyreek Hill checks in as one of the best WRs in the game last year, averaging an excellent 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile. The Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.4%) to wide receivers last year (70.4%).

Tyreek Hill

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins last year (a colossal 59.7 per game on average). The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers. Tyreek Hill checks in as one of the best WRs in the game last year, averaging an excellent 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile. The Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.4%) to wide receivers last year (70.4%).

All Matchup props

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Made Props • Miami

Jaylen Waddle
J. Waddle
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jaylen Waddle has not yet played a game this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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