Indianapolis Colts

1st in AFC South (2 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 21 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Tyler Warren
T. Warren
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Tyler Warren

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.34
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.34

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

All Matchup props

Calvin Ridley Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Calvin Ridley
C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Calvin Ridley has accrued a monstrous 103.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to WRs. Calvin Ridley has been in the 92nd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 65.1 figure since the start of last season. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.32
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.32

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Calvin Ridley has accrued a monstrous 103.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to WRs. Calvin Ridley has been in the 92nd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 65.1 figure since the start of last season. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

All Matchup props

Jonathan Taylor Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Jonathan Taylor
J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.71
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.71
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. While Jonathan Taylor has garnered 69.8% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Indianapolis's running game near the goal line in this week's contest at 58.6%. Jonathan Taylor has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.3% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 56.8% to 100.0%.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.71

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.7 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week. While Jonathan Taylor has garnered 69.8% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Indianapolis's running game near the goal line in this week's contest at 58.6%. Jonathan Taylor has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.3% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 56.8% to 100.0%.

All Matchup props

Tony Pollard Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Tony Pollard
T. Pollard
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Tony Pollard's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 87th percentile for RBs. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

Tony Pollard

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.49
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.49

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Tony Pollard's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 87th percentile for RBs. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season (75.5% Adjusted Completion%).

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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