Indianapolis Colts

1st in AFC South (8 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 30 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Tyler Warren
T. Warren
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

Tyler Warren logo

Tyler Warren

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.44
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.44

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Houston's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Nico Collins Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Nico Collins
N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

Nico Collins logo

Nico Collins

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.48
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.48

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

All Matchup props

Woody Marks Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Woody Marks
W. Marks
running back RB • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

Woody Marks logo

Woody Marks

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.44
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.44

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

All Matchup props

Jonathan Taylor Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Jonathan Taylor
J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Jonathan Taylor's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 78th percentile for RBs. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 56.8% to 91.4%.

Jonathan Taylor logo

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.8

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Jonathan Taylor's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 78th percentile for RBs. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Jonathan Taylor's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 56.8% to 91.4%.

All Matchup props

Daniel Jones Score a Touchdown Props • Indianapolis

Daniel Jones
D. Jones
quarterback QB • Indianapolis
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to attempt 36.1 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Daniel Jones's passing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 67.7%.

Daniel Jones logo

Daniel Jones

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.19
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.19

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to attempt 36.1 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks. The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. Daniel Jones's passing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 67.7%.

All Matchup props

Dalton Schultz Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Dalton Schultz
D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

Dalton Schultz logo

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.25
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.25

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

All Matchup props

C.J. Stroud Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

C.J. Stroud
C. Stroud
quarterback QB • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.05
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.05
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

C.J. Stroud logo

C.J. Stroud

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.05
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.05

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Texans, who are -4-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate. The projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Houston Texans have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.5 plays per game.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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