Indianapolis Colts

2nd in AFC South (2 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 18 13:00 ET

TEN @ IND Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Tyler Warren logo Tyler Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +159)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Titans are the lowest-scoring offense in football, and the Survivor World will be backing the Colts this week. Tyler Warren added a fourth-down, one-yard TD last week, while leading the team with nine targets and pacing the Colts in receptions. His TD bets have returned a 78% ROI, with Warren scoring in three of his five games and being priced similarly in Week 4 to where he is this week. The Colts also have three starters in the secondary on the early-week injury report, with starting safety Kevin Winston Jr. doubtful. Buy this to 2.4x.

Passing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o232.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 257.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward u206.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 197.45 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).
Rushing Yards
Daniel Jones logo
Daniel Jones o6.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 14.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The Tennessee Titans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o52.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 64.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 64.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. With an exceptional rate of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the best running backs in football this year.. This year, the fierce Colts run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Josh Downs logo
Josh Downs o49.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 63.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.
Receiving Yards
Gunnar Helm logo
Gunnar Helm o17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 23.03 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o7.5 Receiving Yards (-135)
Projection 10.43 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Tony Pollard has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a monstrous 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Tyler Warren logo
Tyler Warren o49.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Projection 53.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.
Receptions Made
Josh Downs logo
Josh Downs o4.5 Receptions Made (+126)
Projection 5.05 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. Josh Downs checks in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Rushing Attempts
Jonathan Taylor logo
Jonathan Taylor u19.5 Rushing Attempts (-117)
Projection 16.68 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.5 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

72% picking Indianapolis

28%
72%

Total Picks TEN 174, IND 440

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

54% picking Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Under

46%
54%

Total PicksTEN 177, IND 208

Total
Over
Under

TEN @ IND · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
IND -6.5 spread
-10.18 PROJECTION
-3.7 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
IND -6.5 spread

PROJECTION

-10.18 PROJECTION
-3.7 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-6.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total
43.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.5 DIFFERENCE
11.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

43.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.5 DIFFERENCE
11.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u44.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards
257.94 OVER PROJECTION
+25.4 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

257.94 OVER PROJECTION
+25.4 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o232.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u206.5 Passing Yards
197.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
20.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u206.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

197.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
20.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u209.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
14.52 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.52 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.33% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The Tennessee Titans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

o5.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o52.5 Rushing Yards
64.46 OVER PROJECTION
+12.0 DIFFERENCE
25.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o52.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

64.46 OVER PROJECTION
+12.0 DIFFERENCE
25.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 64.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. With an exceptional rate of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the best running backs in football this year.. This year, the fierce Colts run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o50.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
13.88 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

13.88 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, the fierce Colts run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o10.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards
63.74 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

63.74 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.

o46.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) o17.5 Receiving Yards
23.03 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
24.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) o17.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

23.03 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
24.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

o17.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o7.5 Receiving Yards
10.43 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
21.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o7.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.43 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
21.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Tony Pollard has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a monstrous 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the worst in the NFL.

o7.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
53.17 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
16.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

53.17 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
16.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

o49.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) o51.5 Receiving Yards
53.50 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) o51.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

53.50 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 9.78 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

o51.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards
19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 59.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to notch 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Jonathan Taylor profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 18.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

o16.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. Josh Downs checks in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

o3.5 -150
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. Jonathan Taylor's 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 84.9% mark.

u2.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.21 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.21 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u4.5 +100
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u2.5 -150
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

o5.5 +116
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.56 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-20.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.56 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-20.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

o1.5 -110
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts
16.68 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.8 DIFFERENCE
21.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.68 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.8 DIFFERENCE
21.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.5 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

u20.5 -130
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
18.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
18.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 64.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o13.5 -141
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
32.16 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.16 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

o29.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
23.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o20.5 -128
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
19.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u20.5 -122
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

+500
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. This year, the deficient Colts defense has been gouged for a whopping 0.80 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

+600
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Tony Pollard has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

+165
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. With a remarkable 10.0% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.

-235
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

+300
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.. Josh Downs's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 38.3.

+190
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.

+155
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.15 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.15 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 9th-most TDs through the air in football: 1.80 per game this year.

+475
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u0.5 -109
Caesars Odds logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.71% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.0 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

u0.5 -140
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
IND -6.5 spread
-10.18 PROJECTION
-3.7 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
IND -6.5 spread

PROJECTION

-10.18 PROJECTION
-3.7 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-6.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total
43.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.5 DIFFERENCE
11.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
Under 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

43.04 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.5 DIFFERENCE
11.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u44.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards
257.94 OVER PROJECTION
+25.4 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o232.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

257.94 OVER PROJECTION
+25.4 DIFFERENCE
25.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

o232.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING YARDS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u206.5 Passing Yards
197.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
20.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u206.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

197.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
20.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u209.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
14.52 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.52 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.33% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The Tennessee Titans linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

o5.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o52.5 Rushing Yards
64.46 OVER PROJECTION
+12.0 DIFFERENCE
25.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o52.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

64.46 OVER PROJECTION
+12.0 DIFFERENCE
25.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 64.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. With an exceptional rate of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Tony Pollard ranks among the best running backs in football this year.. This year, the fierce Colts run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o50.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
13.88 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

13.88 OVER PROJECTION
+3.4 DIFFERENCE
12.94% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, the fierce Colts run defense has surrendered a measly 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o10.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards
63.74 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

63.74 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.

o46.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) o17.5 Receiving Yards
23.03 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
24.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) o17.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

23.03 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
24.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

o17.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o7.5 Receiving Yards
10.43 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
21.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o7.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.43 OVER PROJECTION
+2.9 DIFFERENCE
21.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Tony Pollard has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the deficient Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a monstrous 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the worst in the NFL.

o7.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards
53.17 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
16.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

53.17 OVER PROJECTION
+3.7 DIFFERENCE
16.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

o49.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) o51.5 Receiving Yards
53.50 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) o51.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

53.50 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
11% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 9.78 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

o51.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards
19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

19.17 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 59.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to notch 3.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Jonathan Taylor profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 18.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

o16.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs's 90.3% Route% this season conveys a noteable gain in his air attack usage over last season's 66.7% figure.. In this week's game, Josh Downs is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. Josh Downs checks in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

o3.5 -150
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. Jonathan Taylor's 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 84.9% mark.

u2.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.21 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.21 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u4.5 +100
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u2.5 -150
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.54 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

o5.5 +116
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.56 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-20.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.56 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-20.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

o1.5 -110
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts
16.68 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.8 DIFFERENCE
21.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.68 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.8 DIFFERENCE
21.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.5 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

u20.5 -130
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
18.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
18.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to accrue 17.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.. Out of all running backs, Tony Pollard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 64.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o13.5 -141
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
32.16 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.16 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
13.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

o29.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions
23.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) o20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o20.5 -128
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
19.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.05 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u20.5 -122
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

+500
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Gunnar Helm logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
G. Helm (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. This year, the deficient Colts defense has been gouged for a whopping 0.80 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

+600
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tony Pollard logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
T. Pollard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Tony Pollard has posted a whopping 2.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

+165
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jonathan Taylor logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Taylor (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. With a remarkable 10.0% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.

-235
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Carnell Tate logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Tate (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

+300
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Josh Downs logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
J. Downs (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.4 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. Josh Downs has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.. After averaging 44.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Downs has made big progress this year, now averaging 69.0 per game.. Josh Downs's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 38.3.

+190
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Warren logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
T. Warren (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.. This year, the deficient Titans defense has allowed a colossal 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in football.

+155
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.15 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.15 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The Titans are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 9th-most TDs through the air in football: 1.80 per game this year.

+475
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Cam Ward logo
Tennessee Titans image thumbnail
C. Ward (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.4 per game on average).

u0.5 -109
Caesars Odds logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Daniel Jones logo
Indianapolis Colts image thumbnail
D. Jones (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.71% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.0 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

u0.5 -140
FanDuel logo

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Spread

'casperwaits' is picking Tennessee to cover (+7.0)

casperwaits is #1 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

'casperwaits' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Over (44.5)

casperwaits is #1 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'tennis' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-6.5)

tennis is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Spread

'SouthernMotion' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-7.0)

SouthernMotion is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

'tennis' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Over (44.5)

tennis is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'SouthernMotion' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Over (44.5)

SouthernMotion is #2 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'jo14014' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-3.5)

jo14014 is #5 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Spread

'moneys70' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-7.0)

moneys70 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

'moneys70' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Under (44.5)

moneys70 is #7 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Junkoboy' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-3.5)

Junkoboy is #9 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

'Junkoboy' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Over (47.5)

Junkoboy is #9 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'kingjames5' is picking Indianapolis to cover (-7.0)

kingjames5 is #9 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.

Spread
TEN
IND
Total

'kingjames5' picks Tennessee vs Indianapolis to go Under (44.5)

kingjames5 is #9 on picking games that Indianapolis are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

Pages Related to This Topic