Dallas Cowboys
Picks

2nd in NFC East (3 - 4 - 1)

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Mon, Nov 3 20:15 ET

ARI @ DAL Picks

Score a Touchdown

Bam Knight Score a Touchdown (Yes: +145)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

There could easily be 60 points in this game, and I’m getting a starting running back at +145? I’d play Trey Knight down to even money, especially with Michael Carter only on the practice squad. The Cardinals are coming off a bye with just Knight and Emari Demercado on the roster, and Demercado is still dealing with an ankle issue. The Cowboys might have the worst defense in football right now, making this a great price on a back who’s found the end zone in two of his last three games.

Receiving Yards

George Pickens o60.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

Pickens may be QB2 on the depth chart but he's more of a WR1-A. He had another strong effort in the loss to Denver, putting up seven catches on nine targets for 78 yards against one of the best secondaries in the league. Arizona isn't that. The Cardinals are allowing 235 yards through the air per game and hit the road to take on a pass-happy Cowboys attack. Dak Prescott sees his stats spike at home and Pickens has loved playing indoors, with his career splits seeing a rise inside. Player projections range from 67 to 83 yards receiving from Pickens and with this total among the tallest on the board in Week 9, we could be in for a shootout on Monday night.

Passing Completions

Dak Prescott o25.5 Passing Completions (-120)

Projection 28.32 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. The Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. Dak Prescott's 70.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a material improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.0% figure.

-120 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott o264.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 308.4 (Over)

Best Odds

o262.5 -115

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o264.5 -113

o264.5 -114

o262.5 -115

o263.5 -117

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. The Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. With an excellent record of 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Dak Prescott stands among the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Passing Yards

Kyler Murray o250.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Projection 273.49 (Over)

Best Odds

o250.5 -112

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o250.5 -112

o250.5 -114

o254.5 -115

o251.5 -115

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.11 seconds per play.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in football versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (77.4% Adjusted Completion%).

-112 at DraftKings

Interceptions Thrown

Dak Prescott u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-106)

Projection 0.44 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

-106 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Marvin Harrison Jr. o53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 72.62 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.11 seconds per play.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. The Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.7%) versus WRs this year (71.7%).

-114 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Javonte Williams o12.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 18.85 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. The Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.0 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in football.. Javonte Williams's 58.3% Route% this season indicates a meaningful boost in his passing game workload over last season's 44.1% mark.

-114 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Trey McBride o67.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Projection 76.77 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.11 seconds per play.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. Trey McBride has run a route on 93.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

-113 at DraftKings

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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78% picking Dallas

22% 22%

78% 78%

Total Picks ARI 158, DAL 550

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64% picking Arizona vs Dallas to go Over

64% 64%

36% 36%

Total PicksARI 267, DAL 152

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Top User Picks

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'OXPrez24' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Over (54.0)

OXPrez24 is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'OXPrez24' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

OXPrez24 is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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DAL

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'qlh' is picking Arizona to cover (+2.5)

qlh is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'qlh' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Under (53.5)

qlh is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'jsmith0398' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Over (54.0)

jsmith0398 is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'jsmith0398' is picking Arizona to cover (+2.5)

jsmith0398 is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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ARI

DAL

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'gophishn' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

gophishn is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'gophishn' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Over (53.5)

gophishn is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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'GodsArmy' is picking Dallas to cover (-3.0)

GodsArmy is #6 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.

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'Dominoe194' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Over (54.0)

Dominoe194 is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'Dominoe194' is picking Dallas to cover (-2.5)

Dominoe194 is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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DAL

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'london79' is picking Dallas to cover (-3.0)

london79 is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'london79' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Under (52.5)

london79 is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'PMaeson' is picking Arizona to cover (+3.0)

PMaeson is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'PMaeson' picks Arizona vs Dallas to go Over (52.5)

PMaeson is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top Dallas Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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