Dallas Cowboys

3rd in NFC East (1 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 27 16:25 ET

BAL @ DAL Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Mark Andrews logo Mark Andrews Score a Touchdown (Yes: +146)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Ravens’ receiving corps is banged up with injuries to Zay Flowers and Ja'Kobi Lane, upping TE Mark Andrews spot in the pass-catching pecking order. The veteran tight end is heavily involved, playing in more than 70% of snaps and running the 12th most routes among all TEs. He’s reeled in 10 of 13 targets for just under 100 yards in two games. Andrews has been targeted only once inside the red zone yet faces a Dallas defense not only having issues with the run but also rival tight ends. The Cowboys have allowed 11 receptions to the position, two of which were for touchdowns. Touchdown probabilities park Andrews chances at finding the end zone between 30% and 56%, with most models around 40%. 

Rushing Yards
Lamar Jackson logo Lamar Jackson o35.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

A dual-threat QB like Lamar Jackson can roll through that Dallas defense like a carnival float. The Cowboys can’t contain fleet-footed quarterbacks, having allowed a league-high 126 rushing yards to the likes of Jaxson Dart and Jayden Daniels – the latter of which only played the first half (69 rushing yards). Jackson’s rushing efforts have been modest through two games, amassing 40 and 34 yards in the opening two games. However, he told reporters he’s still a big part of the running playbook heading into Week 3. Lamar’s forecasts differ, ranging from 31.5 to 51 rushing yards in Week 3. My number comes out to 44 rushing yards but leans to the higher ceiling given the matchup.

Total
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail u52.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This is a large total considering the travel and neutral site set-up in Brazil, playing outdoors on a grass field (that could be less than perfect). This number also seems like a stretch when you consider the Baltimore Ravens are favorites and anchor their attack in the run game – even more so with injuries to receivers. Baltimore takes its cues from former coordinator and current Giants assistant Greg Roman and plays bully ball against a Dallas defense getting rocked by the run. The Cowboys couldn’t stop New York in Week 1, budging for 165 rushing yards and a lopsided TOP count that parked the offense on the sideline. The Ravens are more formidable on the ground than the G-Men, ranked No. 3 in EPA per carry, No. 1 in success per handoff, and RB Derrick Henry leads the NFL in yards after contact.

Total
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail o52.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Baltimore just allowed New Orleans Saints QB Tyler Shough to throw for 7.4 yards per attempt with a 79.4 completion percentage in Week 2, and now the Ravens go up against a Dallas offense that’s fourth in both EPA per play and offensive success rate ahead of Monday Night Football in Week 2. Of course, there’s no stop on defense for the Cowboys, and the Ravens respectively check in sixth and third in the two highlighted metrics. Finally, I anticipate the trip south to Maracana Stadium to also take its toll on the two defenses in Week 3.

3 LEG PARLAY
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
u52.5
Total
Lamar Jackson profile picture
Lamar Jackson o39.5 Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards
Mark Andrews profile picture
Mark Andrews Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Bet now
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Ravens’ rushing ability can stick this game in mud. Not only can Baltimore bully this bad Dallas defense on the ground but it chews up TOP and takes pressure off Lamar Jackson, who’s playing behind a shaky offensive line. Lamar Jackson will do his part on the ground, rushing for 40+ yards. The Cowboys have allowed the most rushing yards to rival QBs through two weeks and injuries on defense open up soft spots for Jackson to exploit. When the Ravens enter the red zone, Jackson will lean on his old reliable. Mark Andrews is still a big piece of this passing game and the Cowboys have already had issues with rival TEs, giving up two touchdowns to the position.

Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o264.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 316.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott profiles as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 244.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.
Passing Yards
Lamar Jackson logo
Lamar Jackson o235.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 250.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a fantastic 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 87th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas's group of DEs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.
Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry u90.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 81.69 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Rushing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o10.5 Rushing Yards (-150)
Projection 15.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. After making up 8.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, Dak Prescott has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now making up 15.4%.. The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 35.45 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Jake Ferguson profiles as one of the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 34.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Receiving Yards
Zay Flowers logo
Zay Flowers o70.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 82.43 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to find himself in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a terrific 61.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 13.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the paltry 6th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -4.0 per game.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb logo
CeeDee Lamb o74.5 Receiving Yards (-165)
Projection 81.83 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. CeeDee Lamb comes in as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 76.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.
Receptions Made
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams u2.5 Receptions Made (+116)
Projection 2.15 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Passing Completions
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o25.5 Passing Completions (-105)
Projection 28.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 73.0%.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

57% picking Baltimore

57%
43%

Total Picks BAL 387, DAL 288

Spread
BAL
DAL
Total

67% picking Baltimore vs Dallas to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksBAL 309, DAL 153

Total
Over
Under

BAL @ DAL · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +3.5 spread
-0.68 PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.68 PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -110
DraftKings logo
TOTAL
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Over 52.5 Total
53.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Over 52.5 Total

PROJECTION

53.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o52.5 -106
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o264.5 Passing Yards
316.21 OVER PROJECTION
+51.7 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o264.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

316.21 OVER PROJECTION
+51.7 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott profiles as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 244.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o260.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o235.5 Passing Yards
250.64 OVER PROJECTION
+15.1 DIFFERENCE
24.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o235.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

250.64 OVER PROJECTION
+15.1 DIFFERENCE
24.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a fantastic 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 87th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas's group of DEs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

o231.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u90.5 Rushing Yards
81.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-8.8 DIFFERENCE
23.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u90.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

81.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-8.8 DIFFERENCE
23.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u90.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
15.33 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

15.33 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. After making up 8.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, Dak Prescott has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now making up 15.4%.. The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards
35.45 OVER PROJECTION
+9.9 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.45 OVER PROJECTION
+9.9 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Jake Ferguson profiles as one of the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 34.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

o24.5 -160
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
82.43 OVER PROJECTION
+11.9 DIFFERENCE
24.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.43 OVER PROJECTION
+11.9 DIFFERENCE
24.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to find himself in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a terrific 61.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

o70.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Receiving Yards
13.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
24% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the paltry 6th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -4.0 per game.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

u17.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o74.5 Receiving Yards
81.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o74.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

81.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. CeeDee Lamb comes in as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 76.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o74.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards
11.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

11.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Derrick Henry has been on the field for 53.7% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an excellent 7.9 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry stands as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in football.. Derrick Henry has been one of the best RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a terrific 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

o6.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
21.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
21.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

u3.5 -220
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 66.3% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Jake Ferguson profiles as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o3.5 -118
Caesars logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

o5.5 +128
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u18.5 Rushing Attempts
17.56 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u18.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.56 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u18.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) u6.5 Rushing Attempts
5.92 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) u6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.92 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u6.5 -136
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
13.46 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
-24.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.46 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
-24.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. In this contest, Javonte Williams is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.8 rush attempts.. Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 61.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

o9.5 -1000
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts
30.15 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
7.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.15 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
7.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.

o24.5 -370
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o25.5 Passing Completions
28.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
17.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o25.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

28.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
17.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 73.0%.

o24.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
20.91 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.91 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas's group of DEs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

o18.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

+600
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. The model projects Zay Flowers to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (22.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.5% in games he has played).. When talking about air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a superb 70.0 per game.. Zay Flowers rates in the 95th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 68.7 figure since the start of last season.

+130
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.63 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.63 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-145
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

+325
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.

+130
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.

-220
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. The Cowboys defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.11 per game since the start of last season.

+230
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.. Mark Andrews has compiled a colossal 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. Mark Andrews's 37.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 88th percentile for TEs.

+148
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks profile as the best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

u0.5 -107
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +3.5 spread
-0.68 PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.68 PROJECTION
-4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -110
DraftKings logo
TOTAL
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Over 52.5 Total
53.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Over 52.5 Total

PROJECTION

53.24 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o52.5 -106
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o264.5 Passing Yards
316.21 OVER PROJECTION
+51.7 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o264.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

316.21 OVER PROJECTION
+51.7 DIFFERENCE
26.22% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott profiles as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 244.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o260.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o235.5 Passing Yards
250.64 OVER PROJECTION
+15.1 DIFFERENCE
24.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o235.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

250.64 OVER PROJECTION
+15.1 DIFFERENCE
24.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a fantastic 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 87th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas's group of DEs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

o231.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u90.5 Rushing Yards
81.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-8.8 DIFFERENCE
23.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u90.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

81.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-8.8 DIFFERENCE
23.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u90.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
15.33 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

15.33 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. After making up 8.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, Dak Prescott has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now making up 15.4%.. The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards
35.45 OVER PROJECTION
+9.9 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.45 OVER PROJECTION
+9.9 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Jake Ferguson profiles as one of the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 34.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

o24.5 -160
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
82.43 OVER PROJECTION
+11.9 DIFFERENCE
24.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.43 OVER PROJECTION
+11.9 DIFFERENCE
24.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to find himself in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With a terrific 61.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

o70.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Receiving Yards
13.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
24% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. When it comes to air yards, Javonte Williams ranks in the paltry 6th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -4.0 per game.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

u17.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
RECEIVING YARDS
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o74.5 Receiving Yards
81.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o74.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

81.83 OVER PROJECTION
+7.3 DIFFERENCE
17.04% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. CeeDee Lamb comes in as one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 76.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o74.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards
11.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

11.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Derrick Henry has been on the field for 53.7% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an excellent 7.9 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry stands as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in football.. Derrick Henry has been one of the best RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a terrific 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

o6.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
21.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.15 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
21.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

u3.5 -220
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 66.3% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Jake Ferguson profiles as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

o3.5 -118
Caesars logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Zay Flowers is expected by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 29.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. With an outstanding 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

o5.5 +128
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u18.5 Rushing Attempts
17.56 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u18.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.56 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
10.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u18.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) u6.5 Rushing Attempts
5.92 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) u6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.92 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

u6.5 -136
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
13.46 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
-24.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.46 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
-24.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. In this contest, Javonte Williams is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.8 rush attempts.. Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 61.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

o9.5 -1000
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts
30.15 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
7.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.15 OVER PROJECTION
+1.7 DIFFERENCE
7.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.

o24.5 -370
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o25.5 Passing Completions
28.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
17.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o25.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

28.21 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
17.25% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.. Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 66.8% to 73.0%.

o24.5 -125
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
20.91 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.91 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.84% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Dallas's group of DEs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

o18.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.16 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19.2% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

+600
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. The model projects Zay Flowers to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (22.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.5% in games he has played).. When talking about air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a superb 70.0 per game.. Zay Flowers rates in the 95th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 68.7 figure since the start of last season.

+130
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.63 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.63 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-145
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Ferguson logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Ferguson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 64.2% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

+325
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 67.4% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.4% red zone pass rate.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.

+130
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.78 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.

-220
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Lamar Jackson logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
L. Jackson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has allowed a whopping 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.. The Cowboys defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.11 per game since the start of last season.

+230
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.. Mark Andrews has compiled a colossal 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. Mark Andrews's 37.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 88th percentile for TEs.

+148
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks profile as the best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

u0.5 -107
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Bert1' is picking Baltimore to cover (-2.5)

Bert1 is #1 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Bert1' picks Baltimore vs Dallas to go Under (50.5)

Bert1 is #1 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'CC95531' is picking Dallas to cover (+3.0)

CC95531 is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'CC95531' picks Baltimore vs Dallas to go Under (51.5)

CC95531 is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Pendo' is picking Baltimore to cover (-3.0)

Pendo is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'LGG79' is picking Dallas to cover (+2.5)

LGG79 is #2 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'LGG79' picks Baltimore vs Dallas to go Over (50.5)

LGG79 is #2 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Alfiekutya' picks Baltimore vs Dallas to go Under (52.5)

Alfiekutya is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Alfiekutya' is picking Dallas to cover (+2.5)

Alfiekutya is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'FBI007' is picking Baltimore to cover (-3.5)

FBI007 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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