Arizona @ Indianapolis Picks & Props

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. In this week's game, Kyler Murray is projected by the model to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.8. The opposing side have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.40 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. Daniel Jones's 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable growth in his passing precision over last year's 63.4% figure. With a terrible rate of only 0.00 rushing touchdowns per game (2nd percentile), Daniel Jones places among the worst running QBs in the NFL this year. This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals run defense has given up a measly 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals run defense has given up a measly 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Trey McBride has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among tight ends. Trey McBride has totaled a massive 51.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Trey McBride has been in the 100th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a massive 58.1 figure this year.

The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (43.4 per game) this year. Jonathan Taylor's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 12.1. The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 56.7% to 88.9%. With an excellent rate of 0.14 per game through the air (84th percentile), Jonathan Taylor stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This year, the shaky Colts defense has allowed a massive 1.20 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.40 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. While Michael Carter has received 42.9% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Arizona's ground game near the end zone in this contest at 31.3%. Michael Carter's 12.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 81st percentile for running backs. Michael Carter comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to RBs, catching an exceptional 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.