Ravens @ Steelers Picks & Props

A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With a remarkable 22.4% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell stands among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year. The projections expect Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the end zone in this week's game (23.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (18.6% in games he has played). Zay Flowers slots into the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 67.9 figure this year. Zay Flowers's 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a noteworthy improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 65.7% mark.

A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game (17.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year. With a high 25.4% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the league. Mark Andrews's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 84th percentile for TEs. With an excellent ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (80th percentile), Mark Andrews places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football among TEs this year.

A running game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year. In regards to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 1.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.62 per game) versus the Steelers defense this year. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the league against the Steelers defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%). Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.62 per game) versus the Steelers defense this year.