Elijah Higgins Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
E. Higgins
tight end TE • Arizona
Cardinals @ Rams Picks & Props
ARI vs LA Picks
NFL Picks
Game Prop
o13.5 1H Team Total (-125)
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
Los Angeles’ best plan of attack is get up early and then pull the starters. McVay says he’s playing his first teams – at least until they show him that they can play better than the team that’s lost two straight. That shouldn’t be too hard against Arizona, which has allowed 62 points in the first half over the last three games. Matt Stafford also trying to right his MVP ship after a bad effort on Monday knocked him down the odds board. He’ll let it rip. Rams Over 13.5 -125 in the opening half.
Score a Touchdown
Trey McBride Score a Touchdown (Yes: +160)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Rams may not be playing for much by kickoff, but Trey McBride is still chasing history. Since Jacoby Brissett took over in Week 6, McBride has piled up 899 yards and 10 touchdowns, putting him on pace for one of the best tight end seasons ever. There’s also a real chance Arizona isn’t facing Rams starters in this spot, which could push this number down toward the +120 range. He was priced at +110 last week and has returned +5.8 units over the past 10 weeks on anytime TD bets. One more game to pad the stats, and the Cardinals have shown all year they’re happy to let Brissett feed him.
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford o267.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 310.92 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.. In this contest, Matthew Stafford is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.0. . With a fantastic tally of 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford rates among the leading quarterbacks in the league this year.
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett o245.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 259.32 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 65.1% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) this year.. Jacoby Brissett has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (231.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).
Interceptions Thrown
Matthew Stafford u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+100)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
Receiving Yards
Michael Wilson o65.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 84.03 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 65.1% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.2 plays per game.. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) this year.
Receiving Yards
Michael Carter o16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 19.74 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 65.1% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.2 plays per game.. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) this year.
Rushing Yards
Jacoby Brissett o6.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 13.45 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.2 plays per game.. Jacoby Brissett has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (12.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.6%).. With an outstanding total of 2.07 yards-after-contact (75th percentile), Jacoby Brissett places as one of the leading rushing QBs in the NFL this year.
Rushing Yards
Michael Carter o40.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 49.48 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.. The Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.2 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Michael Carter to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this game (8.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.7% in games he has played).
ARI vs LA Consensus Picks
ARI vs LA Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Xavier Weaver Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
X. Weaver
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Emari Demercado Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
E. Demercado
running back RB • Arizona
Jacoby Brissett Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
J. Brissett
quarterback QB • Arizona
Rivaldo Fairweather Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
R. Fairweather
tight end TE • Arizona
Puka Nacua Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Michael Wilson Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
M. Wilson
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Kyren Williams Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Colby Parkinson Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
C. Parkinson
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Blake Corum Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
B. Corum
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Michael Carter Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
M. Carter
running back RB • Arizona
Jarquez Hunter Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
J. Hunter
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Ronnie Rivers Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
R. Rivers
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Tutu Atwell Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
T. Atwell
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Jalen Brooks Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
J. Brooks
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
M. Stafford
quarterback QB • L.A. Rams
Konata Mumpfield Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
K. Mumpfield
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Terrance Ferguson Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
T. Ferguson
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Davis Allen Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
D. Allen
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Trey McBride Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
T. McBride
tight end TE • Arizona
Nick Vannett Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
N. Vannett
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Jordan Whittington Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
J. Whittington
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Xavier Smith Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Rams
X. Smith
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Corey Kiner Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
C. Kiner
running back RB • Arizona
Josiah Deguara Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
J. Deguara
tight end TE • Arizona
Pharaoh Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Arizona
P. Brown
tight end TE • Arizona
ARI vs LA Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.60 Units / 24% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+5.25 Units / 59% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Arizona Cardinals have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 20 games (-10.01 Units / -35% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Arizona Cardinals have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 17 games (-8.90 Units / -45% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 17 games (-5.90 Units / -27% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Arizona Cardinals have only hit the 1H Team Total Under in 8 of their last 20 games (-5.20 Units / -23% ROI)
The Arizona Cardinals have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 6 away games (-5.00 Units / -70% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 47% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Los Angeles Rams have only hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 22 games (-11.30 Units / -45% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games at home (-4.70 Units / -42% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 19 games (-4.45 Units / -20% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (-2.70 Units / -8% ROI)
ARI
LA
The Los Angeles Rams have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (-2.50 Units / -11% ROI)
ARI
LA