Rams @ Falcons Picks & Props

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. With an exceptional 35.1% Red Zone Target Rate (99th percentile) this year, Drake London places among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. With a high 9.3% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. Kyle Pitts has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Colby Parkinson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.2% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends. Colby Parkinson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.2% to 78.6%.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. The leading projections forecast Puka Nacua to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone in this contest (26.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.8% in games he has played). After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has seen marked improvement this year, currently pacing 94.0 per game.

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. With an exceptional 21.4% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson places among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.2. Taking on just 1.3% of his team's red zone carries this year (20th percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's lack of mobility makes him no threat with his legs near the end zone.