Bears @ 49ers Picks & Props

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. DJ Moore has earned a staggering 22.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a sizeable 26.9% Red Zone Target Share (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey has notched a staggering 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey's 41.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 33.9. Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.9% to 84.7%.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. D'Andre Swift's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in football: 78th percentile for running backs.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. While Jake Tonges has earned 6.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in San Francisco's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 15.0%. After accumulating 0.0 air yards per game last season, Jake Tonges has posted big gains this season, now sitting at 12.0 per game. Jake Tonges's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 0.0. With an excellent rate of 0.44 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Jake Tonges has been among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Jauan Jennings has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.3% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among WRs. With a terrific ratio of 0.53 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Jauan Jennings has been among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among wide receivers this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the feeble Bears defense has yielded a staggering 1.27 TDs through the air per game to opposing WRs: the highest rate in football.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a top-tier 20.7% Red Zone Target Share (90th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. George Kittle places in the 98th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 48.0 figure this year. With a stellar 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (94th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs. With an outstanding rate of 0.58 per game through the air (95th percentile), George Kittle rates among the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among tight ends this year.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 36.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs. Brock Purdy's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 69.8%. With an excellent ratio of 1.89 per game (95th percentile), Brock Purdy has been as one of the leading TD throwers in the NFL this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%).