Eagles @ Bills Picks & Props

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3-point underdogs. With an elite 26.1% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL. Dallas Goedert has accrued a monstrous 38.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among TEs. The Philadelphia offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board. Dallas Goedert grades out in the 99th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.67 per game.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3-point underdogs. A.J. Brown has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 29.3% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts. As it relates to air yards, A.J. Brown ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a striking 95.0 per game. The Philadelphia offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board. A.J. Brown grades out in the 91st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.47 per game.

With a top-tier 16.1% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Dawson Knox stands among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL. Dawson Knox grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs this year with a staggering 10.1% of his offense's air yards accumulated. Dawson Knox's 22.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 16.1. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3-point underdogs. The Philadelphia offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board. With a remarkable ratio of 1.50 per game (81st percentile), Jalen Hurts places as one of the best TD passers in the NFL this year.

With an exceptional 19.4% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year. With a stellar 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3-point underdogs. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 15.2% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. Saquon Barkley has posted a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among RBs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Saquon Barkley's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for RBs. The Philadelphia offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Dalton Kincaid has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 15.4% this year, which puts him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends. When talking about air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a colossal 40.0 per game. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year. Dalton Kincaid's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 62.0% to 79.5%. With an outstanding ratio of 0.42 per game through the air (89th percentile), Dalton Kincaid stands as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among tight ends this year.

James Cook has accrued a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage). James Cook ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 13.1 figure this year. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year. James Cook's 91.9% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a noteable progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 84.7% mark. James Cook ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.12 per game.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year. Josh Allen's throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.2%. Josh Allen has been among the best touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 1.47 per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.